Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Wagner

52.7%Manhattan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADManhattan -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEManhattan -111

Manhattan

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 74

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreManhattan 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricManhattan

42.9MMH Power Index39.3

105.5Offensive Efficiency107.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.2

-0.6Net Efficiency-7.1

-5.0Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.5

67.6Tempo69.1

50.2%Effective FG%48.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

31.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-0.4Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–39.3), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.2), net efficiency (-0.6–-7.1), recent form (0.3–-3.5).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–105.5), strength of schedule (-3.6–-5.0), ball security (15.4–18.9).

Final

Wagner

103—101

Manhattan

Wagner by 2 • 77.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATManhattan

37-64FG31-69

58.0%FG%45.0%

9-163PT12-27

56.0%3PT%44.0%

20-27FT27-35

74.0%FT%77.0%

42Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists17

14Turnovers9

5Steals11

8Blocks6

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Jones	G	42	11-17	3-4	10-11	6	6	1	2	35
Sam Smith	F	15	6-7	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	14
Jaden Baker	G	43	5-12	2-5	1-1	4	2	1	1	13
Eddie Placer	G	30	4-6	2-3	1-2	4	1	1	0	11
Zavier Fitch	F	35	3-5	2-2	2-5	10	2	0	3	10
Bryan Akanmu	F	22	5-9	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	0	10
Elijah Brown	G	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Michael Cooper	G	4	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	3
John Awoke	G	19	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Binael Basil	F	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Dinkins	G	45	5-17	3-7	12-14	4	5	2	0	25
Jaden Winston	G	35	8-11	2-4	3-3	2	4	0	0	21
Fraser Roxburgh	F	32	7-10	3-4	0-1	3	4	1	1	17
Terrance Jones	G	37	4-16	1-7	7-8	5	2	5	0	16
Anthony Isaac	F	28	3-6	0-0	5-9	8	0	2	2	11
Marko Ljubicic	F	23	3-7	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	8
Erik Oliver-Bush	G	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	2	3
Quron Elliott	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.7Possessions77.7

132.6Offensive Efficiency130.0

130.0Defensive Efficiency132.6

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

64.8%Effective FG%53.6%

67.0%True Shooting %59.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate11.3%

42.2%Free Throw Rate50.7%

25.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Wagner won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.