Virginia Tech

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Virginia Tech

56.3%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -129

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 75

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreColorado State 77

Team Comparison

Virginia TechMetricColorado State

57.7MMH Power Index55.4

112.8Offensive Efficiency117.1

107.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

5.6Net Efficiency7.2

5.8Strength of Schedule0.4

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.8Tempo64.7

52.3%Effective FG%58.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

3.9Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (117.1–112.8), net efficiency (7.2–5.6), recent form (4.3–-3.9), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.3).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.2–109.9), strength of schedule (5.8–0.4).

Final

Virginia Tech

66—64

Colorado State

Virginia Tech by 2 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Virginia TechTEAM STATColorado State

23-51FG27-59

45.0%FG%46.0%

7-223PT4-19

32.0%3PT%21.0%

13-16FT6-8

81.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists16

8Turnovers11

5Steals5

3Blocks—

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jailen Bedford	G	29	7-9	1-2	2-3	4	1	1	0	17
Neoklis Avdalas	G	32	5-9	3-6	0-0	2	2	1	1	13
Amani Hansberry	F	30	2-8	0-2	6-6	4	3	0	0	10
Tyler Johnson	G	34	3-7	1-2	2-2	12	1	2	2	9
Ben Hammond	G	27	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	9
Jaden Schutt	G	23	1-7	1-7	2-3	0	0	0	0	5
Tobi Lawal	F	15	1-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Christian Gurdak	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Carey Booth	F	23	6-9	1-2	2-3	4	0	1	15
Rashaan Mbemba	F	20	5-7	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	12
Kyle Jorgensen	F	27	5-8	1-2	0-0	9	4	1	11
Josh Pascarelli	G	22	3-7	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	9
Jevin Muniz	G	33	3-9	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	7
Jase Butler	G	18	3-8	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	6
Jojo McIver	G	20	2-6	0-1	0-1	2	2	0	4
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	27	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	2	1	0
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

52.0%Effective FG%49.2%

56.3%True Shooting %51.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

31.4%Free Throw Rate13.6%

43.1%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.