Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.8%Northern Colorado

5.2%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -18.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -1823

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 85

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreAir Force 67

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricAir Force

53.7MMH Power Index23

116.0Offensive Efficiency91.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency118.5

8.4Net Efficiency-27.2

-4.3Strength of Schedule6.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

71.1Tempo67.4

56.9%Effective FG%49.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

27.8%Free Throw Rate35.9%

6.0Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.6–118.5), net efficiency (8.4–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-4.3), free throw rate (35.9–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

71—53

Air Force

Northern Colorado by 18 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATAir Force

28-52FG21-51

54.0%FG%41.0%

10-243PT3-17

42.0%3PT%18.0%

5-8FT8-14

63.0%FT%57.0%

31Rebounds28

4Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists9

9Turnovers10

4Steals2

—Blocks3

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	38	10-17	3-8	0-1	1	8	0	23
Brock Wisne	F	34	8-9	1-2	3-4	8	2	1	20
Zach Bloch	G	35	3-8	3-5	2-3	3	3	3	11
Ibu Yamazaki	F	36	2-6	2-5	0-0	6	1	0	6
Ariik Mawien	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	4
Vincent Delano	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	3
Ring Nyeri	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2
Egan Shields	C	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	32	6-12	2-4	2-3	5	2	1	0	16
Wesley Celichowski	C	17	5-10	0-4	0-1	4	0	0	2	10
Caleb Walker	F	23	3-6	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	0	8
A.J. Patterson	G	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	8
Lucas Hobin	F	32	2-6	1-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	7
Eli Robinson	F	33	1-5	0-1	2-2	5	3	0	0	4
Ethan Greenberg	G	36	0-5	0-5	0-1	4	2	1	1	0
Kolby Gilles	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

115.8Offensive Efficiency86.5

86.5Defensive Efficiency115.8

29.4Net Efficiency-29.4

63.5%Effective FG%44.1%

63.6%True Shooting %46.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

15.4%Free Throw Rate27.5%

46.2%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.89Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.