Sam Houston

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Sam Houston

34.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -187

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSam Houston 80

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 77

Team Comparison

Sam HoustonMetricIdaho State

56.1MMH Power Index45.9

115.5Offensive Efficiency111.0

105.5Defensive Efficiency113.4

10.0Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule0.2

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.2Tempo67.1

53.2%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

34.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.1Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.0), defensive efficiency (105.5–113.4), net efficiency (10.0–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-2.2), ball security (16.5–16.6), free throw rate (39.1–34.8).

Final

Sam Houston

84—81

Idaho State

Sam Houston by 3 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sam HoustonTEAM STATIdaho State

27-60FG21-46

45.0%FG%46.0%

8-253PT7-24

32.0%3PT%29.0%

22-28FT32-41

79.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds23

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists11

13Turnovers17

13Steals6

—Blocks3

30Fouls21

Player Box Score

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kashie Natt	G	30	7-11	0-1	12-14	5	3	1	26
Justin Begg	G	37	4-13	2-7	6-7	2	5	2	16
Po'Boigh King	G	28	4-7	2-5	2-2	3	0	1	12
Jacobe Coleman	G	13	4-9	1-5	0-0	3	0	3	9
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	31	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	3	7
Veljko Ilic	F	22	2-6	0-0	0-2	12	0	2	4
Jacob Walker	G	12	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	0	1	4
Isaiah Manning	F	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Jaxson Ford	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	3
Matt Dann	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
CJ Beaumont	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martin Kheil	G	36	5-11	4-10	4-4	1	3	0	0	18
Lachlan Brewer	G	25	6-7	2-3	3-4	2	0	1	0	17
Jamison Guerra	PG	32	2-4	0-2	8-8	2	6	3	0	12
Caleb Van De Griend	F	22	4-13	0-5	4-5	7	0	0	1	12
Connor Hollenbeck	F	32	2-6	1-2	6-9	3	0	0	0	11
Louis Bond	G	4	0-0	0-0	4-4	0	1	0	1	4
Cheikh Sow	G	23	0-1	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	3
Evan Otten	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	2	1	2
Blake Daberkow	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
Quin Patterson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gus Etchison	PG	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency116.0

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

51.7%Effective FG%53.3%

57.3%True Shooting %61.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate23.1%

46.7%Free Throw Rate89.1%

41.7%3-Point Rate52.2%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Sam Houston won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.