Southeast Missouri State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.6%Southeast Missouri State

24.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -310

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 77

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Team Comparison

Southeast Missouri StateMetricNorthern Arizona

51.6MMH Power Index36.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency107.1

99.8Defensive Efficiency114.8

5.5Net Efficiency-7.7

-2.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

70.8Tempo66.6

50.6%Effective FG%53.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

39.3%Free Throw Rate33.6%

3.9Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southeast Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSoutheast Missouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–36.9), defensive efficiency (99.8–114.8), net efficiency (5.5–-7.7), recent form (6.4–-16.5).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–105.3), strength of schedule (-1.8–-2.4), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.6).

Final

Southeast Missouri State

72—79

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 7 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southeast Missouri StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

30-68FG28-53

44.0%FG%53.0%

5-243PT5-13

21.0%3PT%38.0%

7-13FT18-25

54.0%FT%72.0%

33Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists12

8Turnovers11

5Steals6

5Blocks5

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braxton Stacker	G	32	6-13	3-8	0-0	2	0	2	0	15
Brendan Terry	F	19	6-10	1-1	1-3	4	3	1	0	14
Luke Almodovar	G	31	4-10	1-5	0-1	2	0	1	0	9
Marqueas Bell	G	22	4-10	0-1	1-1	5	2	0	0	9
David Idada	C	19	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	8
BJ Ward	G	27	2-14	0-6	3-4	2	7	0	0	7
Troy Cole Jr.	G	15	2-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	4
Landren Blocker	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Blaize Sagna	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Elliot Lowndes	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
PJ Farmer	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Abelman	G	36	7-13	4-7	2-2	4	2	2	2	20
Zack Davidson	F	24	6-7	0-0	5-9	8	1	0	0	17
Traivar Jackson	F	18	7-7	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	14
Kavon Bradford	G	30	4-10	0-1	4-4	4	4	0	1	12
Isaiah Shaw	G	23	0-3	0-1	6-8	4	0	0	0	6
Karl Poom	F	18	2-5	0-3	1-2	3	3	0	0	5
Arne Osojnik	G	16	2-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Chris Komin	G	24	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Brennan Peterson	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Oakland Fort	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

103.4Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency103.4

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

47.8%Effective FG%57.5%

48.5%True Shooting %60.9%

11.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

19.1%Free Throw Rate47.2%

35.3%3-Point Rate24.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.