NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%NC State

66.3%Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINETexas -197

Texas

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreTexas 84

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricTexas

60.1MMH Power Index61.6

118.4Offensive Efficiency119.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency110.1

9.8Net Efficiency9.5

6.4Strength of Schedule5.3

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

70.2Tempo69.2

55.1%Effective FG%55.1%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

35.7%Free Throw Rate44.3%

6.9Average Margin6.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

NC State

97—102

Texas

Texas by 5 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATTexas

34-64FG29-52

53.0%FG%56.0%

9-193PT16-32

47.0%3PT%50.0%

20-28FT28-33

71.0%FT%85.0%

28Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists18

6Turnovers7

3Steals4

1Blocks2

27Fouls21

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quadir Copeland	G	33	10-14	2-3	6-10	4	6	1	0	28
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	37	10-14	0-0	3-4	9	3	0	0	23
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	38	6-11	3-6	5-6	3	0	2	0	20
Darrion Williams	F	32	3-10	2-5	2-4	4	3	0	0	10
Alyn Breed	G	14	2-4	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Tre Holloman	G	18	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Terrance Arceneaux	G	13	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Matt Able	G	9	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Musa Sagnia	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pope	G	38	8-15	7-13	5-6	0	4	0	0	28
Chendall Weaver	G	32	4-8	3-5	6-7	8	3	0	0	17
Dailyn Swain	G	29	4-9	0-2	6-6	6	7	1	1	14
Matas Vokietaitis	C	25	4-4	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	0	13
Simeon Wilcher	G	23	3-5	3-5	3-4	4	2	0	0	12
Camden Heide	F	22	4-5	3-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	11
Tramon Mark	G	16	2-5	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	1	5
Lassina Traore	F	15	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

134.7Offensive Efficiency141.7

141.7Defensive Efficiency134.7

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

60.2%Effective FG%71.2%

62.7%True Shooting %75.4%

8.0%Turnover Rate10.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate63.5%

29.7%3-Point Rate61.5%

2.33Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Texas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.