Charlotte

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Charlotte

74.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -291

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCharlotte 69

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Team Comparison

CharlotteMetricIllinois State

49.3MMH Power Index54.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

113.3Defensive Efficiency101.4

-1.7Net Efficiency9.2

2.9Strength of Schedule1.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

65.7Tempo67.5

53.7%Effective FG%54.3%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-1.1Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–49.3), defensive efficiency (101.4–113.3), net efficiency (9.2–-1.7), recent form (-4.4–-5.2).

Charlotte COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–110.6), strength of schedule (2.9–1.0), offensive rebounding (33.7–28.3).

Final

Charlotte

69—79

Illinois State

Illinois State by 10 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CharlotteTEAM STATIllinois State

23-52FG25-52

44.0%FG%48.0%

9-193PT8-23

47.0%3PT%35.0%

14-23FT21-31

61.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

14Turnovers7

5Steals7

4Blocks2

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Charlotte

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Bradford	G	30	9-13	1-2	4-7	7	2	0	0	23
Major Freeman	G	24	4-10	1-3	3-5	3	5	1	0	12
Raul Villar	G	22	1-1	1-1	3-4	3	3	2	0	6
David Gomez	F	21	2-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	1	3	6
Anton Bonke	C	14	2-4	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	6
Arden Conyers	F	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Ethan Butler	F	18	1-3	1-3	2-4	3	0	0	0	5
Jarne Elouna Eyenga	F	19	1-4	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	1	3
Kuluel Mading	C	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kylan Blackmon	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dezayne Mingo	G	15	0-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Spencer Elliott	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	35	8-14	2-5	4-6	10	2	1	0	22
Chase Walker	F	19	4-8	0-0	10-12	5	2	0	0	18
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	28	4-7	2-5	3-7	0	1	1	1	13
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	2-6	2-5	2-2	3	4	2	0	8
Landon Wolf	G	25	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	3	0	6
Ty Pence	G	20	2-7	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	0	6
Mason Klabo	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brandon Lieb	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Jack Daugherty	F	5	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Landon Moore	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

104.9Offensive Efficiency120.1

120.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

-15.2Net Efficiency15.2

52.9%Effective FG%55.8%

54.8%True Shooting %59.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate10.8%

44.2%Free Throw Rate59.6%

36.5%3-Point Rate44.2%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.