Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Oklahoma State

67.3%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -206

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 77

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 82

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricNorthwestern

53.5MMH Power Index55.4

112.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

0.9Net Efficiency1.8

6.1Strength of Schedule5.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

74.8Tempo65.6

52.2%Effective FG%51.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

40.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

0.7Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–53.5), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.2), net efficiency (1.8–0.9), recent form (-2.7–-8.5).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.1–111.6), strength of schedule (6.1–5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.9).

Final

Oklahoma State

86—81

Northwestern

Oklahoma State by 5 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

27-63FG28-56

43.0%FG%50.0%

6-223PT3-18

27.0%3PT%17.0%

26-33FT22-30

79.0%FT%73.0%

39Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists18

10Turnovers10

4Steals4

5Blocks3

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Curry	G	21	6-11	0-2	6-9	2	4	0	0	18
Vyctorius Miller	G	28	5-9	3-5	4-4	2	3	0	2	17
Anthony Roy	G	28	5-13	3-7	3-3	6	0	0	1	16
Parsa Fallah	F	24	5-9	0-1	3-7	11	2	0	0	13
Christian Coleman	G	21	3-7	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	10
Kanye Clary	G	29	1-6	0-3	4-4	0	5	3	1	6
Isaiah Coleman	G	22	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	0	4
Andrija Vukovic	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Lefteris Mantzoukas	F	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Ryan Crotty	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	37	12-16	1-1	3-3	10	2	1	0	28
Angelo Ciaravino	G	29	6-9	1-3	1-5	2	2	1	0	14
Arrinten Page	F	27	3-7	0-2	5-7	7	1	1	1	11
Jayden Reid	G	29	3-7	1-3	2-2	1	6	0	0	9
K.J. Windham	G	17	0-3	0-2	7-7	1	1	0	0	7
Tre Singleton	F	34	1-7	0-5	4-4	7	5	0	2	6
Max Green	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-2	0	1	0	0	4
Justin Mullins	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jake West	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Tyler Kropp	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

118.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency118.6

6.9Net Efficiency-6.9

47.6%Effective FG%52.7%

54.7%True Shooting %57.7%

13.6%Turnover Rate14.0%

52.4%Free Throw Rate53.6%

34.9%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Oklahoma State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.