Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%Indiana State

23.2%Alcorn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -331

Alcorn State

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 78

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 71

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricAlcorn State

44.4MMH Power Index29.1

104.7Offensive Efficiency96.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency115.1

-1.3Net Efficiency-19.1

0.1Strength of Schedule-2.1

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

70.3Tempo69.7

53.6%Effective FG%47.8%

19.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-0.9Average Margin-13.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–29.1), offensive efficiency (104.7–96.0), defensive efficiency (106.0–115.1), net efficiency (-1.3–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-5.1–-5.2), free throw rate (32.4–28.8).

Final

Indiana State

74—81

Alcorn State

Alcorn State by 7 • 79.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATAlcorn State

24-64FG32-63

38.0%FG%51.0%

6-293PT6-20

21.0%3PT%30.0%

20-25FT11-18

80.0%FT%61.0%

33Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists8

17Turnovers20

15Steals13

3Blocks4

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sterling Young	G	35	5-14	1-7	7-7	3	2	1	0	18
Camp Wagner	G	32	4-12	2-9	4-4	5	2	3	0	14
Ian Scott	F	33	3-6	1-2	5-7	4	3	1	1	12
Xavier Hall	G	24	4-8	0-2	4-5	2	3	3	0	12
Markus Harding	C	27	4-12	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	24	2-7	2-5	0-2	0	2	3	0	6
Enel St. Bernard	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	3	1	2
Bruno Alocen	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jameel Morris	PG	34	7-13	2-4	2-2	5	1	2	1	18
Davian Williams	PG	26	6-8	2-3	0-2	4	2	5	0	14
Shane Lancaster	G	19	5-8	1-4	2-3	0	0	0	1	13
Tycen McDaniels	F	33	4-10	0-1	4-6	10	1	3	1	12
Nick Woodard	SF	33	4-9	0-3	0-0	9	3	0	0	8
Omari Hamilton	F	23	3-7	1-3	1-2	6	0	1	0	8
Mike Jones	SG	12	1-4	0-1	1-2	4	1	1	1	3
Bryson Calamese	PG	5	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Jeremy Ellis	PF	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Travis Roberts	SG	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
William Henderson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.8Possessions79.8

92.7Offensive Efficiency101.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency92.7

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

42.2%Effective FG%55.6%

48.8%True Shooting %56.6%

21.0%Turnover Rate25.5%

39.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

45.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

Alcorn State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 79.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.