Furman

22-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Furman

63.5%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -174

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFurman 71

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 75

Team Comparison

FurmanMetricIllinois State

53.9MMH Power Index54.3

113.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

105.1Defensive Efficiency101.4

8.2Net Efficiency9.2

-1.8Strength of Schedule1.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

67.4Tempo67.5

55.4%Effective FG%54.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

32.6%Free Throw Rate32.0%

5.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–53.9), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.1), net efficiency (9.2–8.2), strength of schedule (1.0–-1.8).

Furman COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.6), recent form (4.6–-4.4), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.3).

Final

Furman

65—72

Illinois State

Illinois State by 7 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FurmanTEAM STATIllinois State

25-55FG26-57

45.0%FG%46.0%

9-253PT8-24

36.0%3PT%33.0%

6-11FT12-18

55.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists11

13Turnovers10

3Steals6

2Blocks6

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Furman

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Wilkins	G	30	9-17	2-6	5-6	0	5	0	1	25
Cooper Bowser	F	30	6-10	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
Collin O'Neal	G	16	4-4	4-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
Asa Thomas	G	29	2-9	2-8	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Charles Johnston	F	30	2-6	0-3	0-1	8	2	2	0	4
Ben Vander Wal	F	25	1-2	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	1	3
Eddrin Bronson	G	18	1-5	1-2	0-1	0	2	0	0	3
Tom House	G	22	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Pence	G	31	8-12	2-3	2-3	10	2	1	1	20
Chase Walker	F	21	4-6	1-2	5-7	4	2	1	1	14
Boden Skunberg	G	31	3-8	3-6	3-4	3	1	2	1	12
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	5-12	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	31	4-10	1-4	0-2	1	4	2	0	9
Brandon Lieb	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Cameron Barnes	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	2
Mason Klabo	G	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Landon Wolf	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landon Moore	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

97.2Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

-10.5Net Efficiency10.5

53.6%Effective FG%52.6%

54.0%True Shooting %54.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

20.0%Free Throw Rate31.6%

45.5%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.