Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%Colorado State

88.1%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -740

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 72

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 86

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSouth Florida

55.4MMH Power Index68.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency117.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency101.6

7.2Net Efficiency15.7

0.4Strength of Schedule1.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

64.7Tempo74.5

58.6%Effective FG%51.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

4.6Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–55.4), offensive efficiency (117.3–117.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–109.9), net efficiency (15.7–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (58.6–51.0).

Final

Colorado State

83—68

South Florida

Colorado State by 15 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSouth Florida

30-49FG25-69

61.0%FG%36.0%

16-223PT8-31

73.0%3PT%26.0%

7-12FT10-14

58.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds32

3Offensive Rebounds14

23Assists15

15Turnovers9

5Steals8

5Blocks1

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Pascarelli	G	35	10-11	8-8	0-0	2	1	2	0	28
Carey Booth	F	31	5-8	2-3	4-5	6	2	0	1	16
Jase Butler	G	16	3-4	3-3	2-4	1	3	0	0	11
Jevin Muniz	G	33	3-3	1-1	0-1	6	10	1	1	7
Nikola Djapa	C	13	3-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	7
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	30	2-8	1-5	0-0	1	4	0	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	22	1-5	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	2	3
Jojo McIver	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wes Enis	G	36	6-17	4-13	1-1	2	2	0	0	17
Adriel Nyorha	G	18	4-8	1-4	5-6	4	6	0	0	14
Daimion Collins	F	19	5-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	10
Izaiyah Nelson	F	22	4-10	0-0	0-0	8	1	2	0	8
CJ Brown	G	30	2-12	1-5	2-5	1	4	1	0	7
Josh Omojafo	G	21	2-7	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Joseph Pinion	G	21	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Gavin Hightower	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Isaiah Jones	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Devin Haid	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

120.8Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency120.8

21.8Net Efficiency-21.8

77.6%Effective FG%42.0%

75.9%True Shooting %44.9%

22.5%Turnover Rate12.7%

24.5%Free Throw Rate20.3%

44.9%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.53Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.