Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Merrimack

60.3%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPennsylvania -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPennsylvania -152

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 70

Projected Total142.7

Projected ScorePennsylvania 73

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricPennsylvania

53.7MMH Power Index52.9

106.4Offensive Efficiency108.6

103.2Defensive Efficiency106.4

3.2Net Efficiency2.2

0.7Strength of Schedule1.9

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

64.4Tempo69.9

49.3%Effective FG%50.9%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.5%Free Throw Rate36.3%

2.1Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–52.9), defensive efficiency (103.2–106.4), net efficiency (3.2–2.2), recent form (12.9–2.3).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.6–106.4), strength of schedule (1.9–0.7), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.3).

Final

Merrimack

65—77

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania by 12 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATPennsylvania

25-67FG31-58

37.0%FG%53.0%

4-283PT3-12

14.0%3PT%25.0%

11-15FT12-23

73.0%FT%52.0%

32Rebounds46

10Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists18

5Turnovers11

7Steals3

4Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevair Kennedy	G	35	8-13	0-0	2-4	4	3	1	0	18
Andrés Marrero	G	27	6-14	2-7	0-0	2	2	2	0	14
Ernest Shelton	G	35	4-13	2-9	2-2	0	1	0	0	12
Tye Dorset	G	35	2-12	0-7	4-4	3	1	1	0	8
KC Ugwuakazi	F	17	2-6	0-0	2-2	9	0	0	0	6
Jaylen Stinson	G	13	1-1	0-0	1-3	3	3	2	0	3
Aliou Cisse	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Dylan Veillette	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Todd Brogna	F	22	0-5	0-5	0-0	4	2	1	1	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Scantlebury	C	23	10-10	0-0	2-8	13	2	0	3	22
TJ Power	F	37	6-12	0-1	2-3	12	6	0	0	14
Ethan Roberts	F	36	4-11	1-3	2-2	4	4	1	0	11
Lucas Lueth	F	22	4-9	1-2	0-3	4	0	0	1	9
Augustus Gerhart	F	17	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Dylan Williams	G	17	2-6	0-1	1-2	3	3	1	0	5
Michael Zanoni	F	16	1-4	0-3	3-3	1	0	1	0	5
Cam Thrower	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
AJ Levine	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Niklas Polonowski	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

95.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency95.6

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

40.3%Effective FG%56.0%

43.8%True Shooting %55.9%

7.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

22.4%Free Throw Rate39.7%

41.8%3-Point Rate20.7%

2.40Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.