Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.6%Wisconsin

49.4%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -102

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 78

Projected Total157.3

Projected ScoreTCU 79

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricTCU

64.5MMH Power Index59.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency110.2

108.8Defensive Efficiency102.7

9.8Net Efficiency7.5

6.7Strength of Schedule4.6

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.9Tempo70.2

54.6%Effective FG%50.5%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

32.5%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.9Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–59.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.2), net efficiency (9.8–7.5), strength of schedule (6.7–4.6).

TCU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–108.8), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.7), free throw rate (38.3–32.5).

Final

Wisconsin

63—74

TCU

TCU by 11 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATTCU

20-58FG28-60

34.0%FG%47.0%

7-283PT8-14

25.0%3PT%57.0%

16-18FT10-16

89.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists15

17Turnovers13

9Steals6

3Blocks7

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	34	8-22	3-8	11-12	6	0	3	0	30
Nick Boyd	G	33	6-13	1-4	2-2	1	3	2	0	15
Andrew Rohde	G	31	3-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Braeden Carrington	G	18	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Nolan Winter	F	36	0-3	0-2	3-4	10	3	1	2	3
Austin Rapp	F	22	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Will Garlock	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Punch	F	32	7-11	1-1	2-2	9	2	2	2	17
Brock Harding	G	36	6-9	2-3	2-3	4	5	1	0	16
Xavier Edmonds	F	18	6-8	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	12
Jayden Pierre	G	32	4-11	2-2	1-2	3	4	0	2	11
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	28	4-5	3-4	0-0	5	1	1	1	11
Micah Robinson	F	28	1-5	0-2	5-7	4	1	0	1	7
Jace Posey	G	14	0-7	0-0	0-2	7	0	1	0	0
Tanner Toolson	G	12	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

85.0Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency85.0

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

40.5%Effective FG%53.3%

47.3%True Shooting %54.7%

22.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.0%Free Throw Rate26.7%

48.3%3-Point Rate23.3%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

TCU won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.