Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Cal State Northridge

51.3%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -105

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 80

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricIdaho State

50MMH Power Index45.9

107.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

2.1Net Efficiency-2.4

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

75.9Tempo67.1

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

1.6Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–107.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-0.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0), ball security (16.5–17.3).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.0–45.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–113.4), net efficiency (2.1–-2.4).

Final

Cal State Northridge

50—82

Idaho State

Idaho State by 32 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATIdaho State

14-69FG28-58

20.0%FG%48.0%

7-343PT11-29

21.0%3PT%38.0%

15-19FT15-19

79.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds44

16Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists14

15Turnovers14

7Steals6

—Blocks8

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jai Chisolm	G	13	5-9	3-5	2-2	2	0	1	15
Larry Hughes II	G	27	2-15	1-8	2-2	3	1	0	7
Aleks Szymczyk	C	12	1-3	1-2	3-4	6	0	0	6
Davius Loury	F	30	1-10	1-7	2-2	2	2	2	5
Jordan Brinson	G	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	5
Josiah Davis	G	34	2-8	0-0	0-1	4	4	2	4
Mahmoud Fofana	F	24	0-4	0-0	4-6	6	0	1	4
Joshua O'Garro	G	22	1-9	0-5	0-0	6	1	1	2
Greg Gazarian	G	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2
James Evans Jr.	G	10	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0
Grady Lewis	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Robert Thibiant	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Etchison	PG	17	5-9	1-5	3-4	3	3	0	0	14
Martin Kheil	G	34	4-12	3-9	2-2	5	4	0	0	13
Connor Hollenbeck	F	31	3-11	3-6	2-2	6	4	0	1	11
Caleb Van De Griend	F	10	4-4	1-1	2-3	4	1	0	1	11
Jamison Guerra	PG	20	3-4	2-2	2-2	1	0	3	0	10
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	3-6	0-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Cheikh Sow	G	13	1-1	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Blake Daberkow	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Evan Otten	F	15	1-4	0-0	1-2	8	0	1	3	3
Quin Patterson	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Landen Birley	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Louis Bond	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Kasen Carpenter	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

66.2Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency66.2

-42.4Net Efficiency42.4

25.4%Effective FG%57.8%

32.0%True Shooting %61.2%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.9%

27.5%Free Throw Rate32.8%

49.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.