Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Stanford

79.3%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -383

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 72

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 84

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricSaint Louis

59.2MMH Power Index66.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.5Net Efficiency23.2

5.2Strength of Schedule0.3

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.1Tempo72.2

51.9%Effective FG%59.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

37.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

3.0Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.2), offensive efficiency (120.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–107.1), net efficiency (23.2–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.2–0.3), recent form (7.4–0.1), ball security (15.5–17.1).

Final

Stanford

78—77

Saint Louis

Stanford by 1 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATSaint Louis

24-64FG23-61

38.0%FG%38.0%

13-273PT5-20

48.0%3PT%25.0%

17-24FT26-28

71.0%FT%93.0%

38Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists15

10Turnovers11

4Steals5

4Blocks4

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chisom Okpara	F	34	5-13	2-3	7-10	6	3	1	0	19
Ebuka Okorie	G	35	3-14	3-8	8-10	3	6	1	0	17
Jeremy Dent-Smith	G	21	4-9	4-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
AJ Rohosy	F	23	5-12	0-0	1-2	9	2	0	0	11
Ryan Agarwal	G	30	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	1	1	1	8
Aidan Cammann	F	16	3-4	1-1	1-2	1	1	0	2	8
Benny Gealer	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Oskar Giltay	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	0
Kristers Skrinda	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Grant	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Stinson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Green	G	31	4-7	2-4	5-5	6	2	0	0	15
Robbie Avila	C	30	2-8	0-2	8-8	8	3	0	0	12
Dion Brown	G	26	6-15	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	12
Ishan Sharma	F	24	3-9	3-8	3-3	3	1	0	0	12
Quentin Jones	G	29	3-4	0-0	5-6	6	1	1	1	11
Amari McCottry	G	26	3-9	0-3	2-2	6	5	1	2	8
Paul Otieno	F	13	1-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Kellen Thames	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Brady Dunlap	F	8	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

107.7Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency107.7

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

47.7%Effective FG%41.8%

51.7%True Shooting %51.8%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

37.5%Free Throw Rate45.9%

42.2%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Stanford won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.