BYU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%BYU

51.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -107

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBYU 76

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreDayton 77

Team Comparison

BYUMetricDayton

63.9MMH Power Index59.9

118.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

11.5Net Efficiency7.0

6.5Strength of Schedule5.7

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.6Tempo68.3

54.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.4%Free Throw Rate47.6%

8.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–59.9), offensive efficiency (118.3–108.5), net efficiency (11.5–7.0), strength of schedule (6.5–5.7).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–106.8), recent form (6.4–-2.2), free throw rate (47.6–35.4).

Final

BYU

83—79

Dayton

BYU by 4 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BYUTEAM STATDayton

29-56FG29-62

52.0%FG%47.0%

10-223PT15-33

45.0%3PT%45.0%

15-18FT6-14

83.0%FT%43.0%

35Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

15Turnovers14

11Steals7

2Blocks5

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Richie Saunders	G	38	9-15	6-10	5-5	8	2	3	0	29
Robert Wright III	G	35	9-16	2-4	3-3	3	6	2	0	23
AJ Dybantsa	F	34	7-12	1-1	3-4	4	3	0	0	18
Keba Keita	F	23	2-3	0-0	4-5	6	0	3	1	8
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	32	2-7	1-4	0-1	4	0	3	0	5
Khadim Mboup	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	0
Tyler Mrus	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dominique Diomande	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aleksej Kostic	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	34	7-16	6-11	2-2	2	3	0	0	22
Bryce Heard	G	23	6-7	4-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	16
Amaël L'Etang	F	31	5-13	2-7	1-2	6	2	0	2	13
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	29	4-11	2-5	1-1	8	4	1	1	11
Keonte Jones	G	32	4-8	0-1	0-2	4	4	2	1	8
Jordan Derkack	G	22	2-3	1-2	2-7	4	0	1	0	7
Jacob Conner	F	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Malcolm Thomas	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jaiun Simon	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

111.1Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency111.1

5.4Net Efficiency-5.4

60.7%Effective FG%58.9%

64.3%True Shooting %57.5%

20.1%Turnover Rate18.8%

32.1%Free Throw Rate22.6%

39.3%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

BYU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.