Lehigh

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Lehigh

73.3%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -275

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLehigh 70

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreTexas State 77

Team Comparison

LehighMetricTexas State

44.9MMH Power Index49.4

105.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency103.4

-1.6Net Efficiency4.3

-1.7Strength of Schedule-4.7

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.2Tempo68.6

53.3%Effective FG%51.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

23.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

32.5%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-1.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–44.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–105.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–106.7), net efficiency (4.3–-1.6).

Lehigh COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.7), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.3), ball security (17.7–18.4).

Final

Lehigh

78—74

Texas State

Lehigh by 4 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LehighTEAM STATTexas State

29-58FG27-62

50.0%FG%44.0%

13-253PT2-6

52.0%3PT%33.0%

7-12FT18-23

58.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds16

17Assists11

13Turnovers14

8Steals9

5Blocks7

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Lehigh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nasir Whitlock	G	38	11-19	5-8	4-4	0	2	0	0	31
Joshua Ingram	G	36	5-9	1-3	0-0	4	2	2	1	11
Caleb Thomas	G	31	3-7	1-2	3-4	1	4	3	0	10
Peter Kramer	G	25	3-6	3-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Hank Alvey	F	30	4-8	0-1	0-4	5	3	1	3	8
Andrew Urosevic	G	12	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jake Pike	F	24	1-2	1-1	0-0	7	0	0	1	3
Jalen Vazquez	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Alfredo Addesa	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Henri Adiassa	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	41	9-11	0-0	5-5	12	3	3	0	23
Mark Drone	G	35	6-14	0-0	3-4	3	2	1	0	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	34	4-10	0-0	3-4	4	3	1	1	11
Ky Pernell	G	11	3-6	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	9
Dimp Pernell	G	21	2-8	1-3	1-2	2	1	1	1	6
Robert Fields	C	18	1-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1	3
Makai Willis	C	11	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	3	3
Franck Emmou	G	32	1-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Tay Knox	C	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	2
Kyndall Davis	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jalen Bolden	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

111.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

61.2%Effective FG%45.2%

61.2%True Shooting %50.7%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.7%

20.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

43.1%3-Point Rate9.7%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Lehigh won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.