Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Southern

53.8%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -116

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 73

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 75

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricNorthwestern State

44.5MMH Power Index41.3

108.7Offensive Efficiency104.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency109.0

2.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-7.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

73.3Tempo63.6

51.3%Effective FG%49.5%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

1.7Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (108.7–104.0), defensive efficiency (106.4–109.0), net efficiency (2.3–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-7.5), free throw rate (41.2–40.3).

Final

Southern

75—73

Northwestern State

Southern by 2 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATNorthwestern State

29-61FG26-59

48.0%FG%44.0%

10-193PT11-23

53.0%3PT%48.0%

7-13FT10-15

54.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists12

14Turnovers14

7Steals5

5Blocks3

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Jacobs	G	36	9-22	1-3	3-6	5	9	2	0	22
Fazl Oshodi	G	23	6-6	6-6	0-0	1	0	2	1	18
Cam Amboree	G	27	4-11	2-5	0-1	1	2	1	0	10
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	18	3-4	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	1	9
Malek Abdelgowad	F	17	4-6	0-0	1-2	10	3	0	1	9
Keith Lamar	F	23	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Brandon Hardy	G	31	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	1	2
Ashton Magee	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
AJ Barnes	F	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Joe Manning	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	33	6-14	3-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	15
Willie Williams	F	22	4-9	1-1	3-6	9	0	1	0	12
Chris Mubiru	G	25	3-3	3-3	2-2	2	4	1	1	11
Chip Brunt	G	18	4-6	0-0	2-2	1	0	2	1	10
Justin Redmond	G	18	4-12	2-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	10
Izzy Miles	G	19	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	6
Omar Adegbola	G	8	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Landyn Jumawan	G	23	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Moustapha Loum	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	2
Kordrick Turner	F	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	1
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

108.4Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

55.7%Effective FG%53.4%

55.8%True Shooting %55.2%

20.2%Turnover Rate20.3%

21.3%Free Throw Rate25.4%

31.1%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.21Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Southern won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.