Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Western Michigan

78.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -367

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 71

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreValparaiso 80

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricValparaiso

42.8MMH Power Index49.9

106.9Offensive Efficiency106.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency105.8

-6.7Net Efficiency0.8

2.0Strength of Schedule0.3

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.9Tempo67.5

50.3%Effective FG%48.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

34.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-4.7Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–42.8), defensive efficiency (105.8–113.6), net efficiency (0.8–-6.7), recent form (-0.1–-9.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.9–106.6), strength of schedule (2.0–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.7).

Final

Western Michigan

55—84

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 29 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATValparaiso

21-55FG25-55

38.0%FG%45.0%

6-173PT11-24

35.0%3PT%46.0%

7-12FT23-26

58.0%FT%88.0%

29Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists14

16Turnovers10

3Steals9

1Blocks8

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Lewis	G	18	5-8	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	13
Jalen Griffith	G	33	3-12	0-5	3-4	1	9	0	0	9
Max Burton	F	22	4-8	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	1	8
EJ Ryans	G	23	3-7	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Brady Swartz	G	13	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Michael Sulaka	F	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Declan Peterson	C	14	1-5	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Jayden Brewer	G	19	0-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	2
Sharod Barnes	G	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Hudson Ward	F	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Carson Vis	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	17	7-11	4-7	0-0	0	0	2	0	18
Mark Brown Jr.	G	21	4-7	3-5	4-4	4	2	2	1	15
Brody Whitaker	G	28	4-8	2-4	4-4	4	2	0	0	14
Isaiah Barnes	G	22	3-5	1-3	3-3	2	3	0	0	10
JT Pettigrew	F	21	2-9	0-1	5-5	5	0	0	1	9
Tucker Tornatta	C	14	1-3	0-0	6-8	4	0	0	0	8
Carter Hopoi	F	18	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	2	1	4	4
Shon Tupuola	C	25	1-5	0-0	0-0	9	2	1	2	2
Rakim Chaney	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	2	0	2
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Sader Servilus	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Camden Webster	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Lombardi	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Vick	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

84.5Offensive Efficiency129.0

129.0Defensive Efficiency84.5

-44.5Net Efficiency44.5

43.6%Effective FG%55.5%

45.3%True Shooting %62.4%

24.4%Turnover Rate15.5%

21.8%Free Throw Rate47.3%

30.9%3-Point Rate43.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.