Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.6%Air Force

94.4%South Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota -1686

South Dakota

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 67

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 86

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricSouth Dakota

23MMH Power Index43.8

91.3Offensive Efficiency110.0

118.5Defensive Efficiency110.8

-27.2Net Efficiency-0.8

6.2Strength of Schedule-4.9

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.4Tempo72.4

49.0%Effective FG%50.9%

21.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate46.2%

-18.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.0–91.3), defensive efficiency (110.8–118.5), net efficiency (-0.8–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-4.9).

Final

Air Force

63—80

South Dakota

South Dakota by 17 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSouth Dakota

18-44FG29-60

41.0%FG%48.0%

1-103PT4-17

10.0%3PT%24.0%

26-35FT18-25

74.0%FT%72.0%

22Rebounds43

4Offensive Rebounds17

8Assists14

12Turnovers14

9Steals6

4Blocks—

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Walker	F	28	10-17	0-0	1-3	4	0	1	1	21
Kam Sanders	G	31	0-4	0-1	15-15	3	3	3	1	15
Lucas Hobin	F	33	2-9	1-6	7-8	2	0	0	1	12
Eli Robinson	F	28	3-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	0	7
Ethan Greenberg	G	28	1-4	0-2	0-1	0	1	1	0	2
A.J. Patterson	G	18	0-0	0-0	2-6	1	3	1	0	2
Wesley Celichowski	C	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Kolby Gilles	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	0	2
Justin Hinds	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

South Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaac Bruns	G	34	8-20	0-2	8-9	6	0	1	24
Cameron Fens	C	25	5-6	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	11
Jesse McIntosh	G	18	5-9	0-3	1-2	2	4	1	11
Uzziah Buntyn	G	29	4-7	1-1	1-3	6	4	0	10
Jordan Crawford	G	29	3-8	1-5	2-2	2	1	2	9
Ethan Kizer	F	21	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	6
Shey Eberwein	G	10	0-1	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	4
Jake Brack	F	12	1-1	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	3
Ashton Smith	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
Evan Anderson	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0
Vince Buzelis	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

91.6Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency91.6

-24.7Net Efficiency24.7

42.0%Effective FG%51.7%

52.0%True Shooting %55.7%

17.5%Turnover Rate20.3%

79.5%Free Throw Rate41.7%

22.7%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

South Dakota won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.