Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.5%Montana State

86.5%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -641

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 70

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreUtah State 83

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricUtah State

53.6MMH Power Index65.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

9.5Net Efficiency16.6

-3.7Strength of Schedule3.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.1Tempo68.6

55.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.5Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (119.7–114.4), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–9.5).

Montana State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.9–0.3), ball security (14.7–15.1).

Final

Montana State

81—84

Utah State

Utah State by 3 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATUtah State

27-69FG29-62

39.0%FG%47.0%

11-363PT8-22

31.0%3PT%36.0%

16-18FT18-26

89.0%FT%69.0%

43Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists17

16Turnovers10

4Steals11

5Blocks3

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	40	8-21	1-3	9-11	8	3	1	0	26
Davian Brown	G	33	7-16	4-9	0-0	6	1	1	1	18
Jed Miller	G	31	4-9	3-7	2-2	7	1	0	0	13
Cavin Holden	G	27	4-12	3-11	2-2	5	1	1	0	13
Jeremiah Davis	G	31	2-6	0-4	1-1	2	2	1	0	5
Jaden Steppe	F	11	1-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Waka Mbatch	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Chris Hodges	F	34	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	3	0
Howie Keene	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	42	6-11	4-8	7-8	4	1	2	0	23
Mason Falslev	G	37	7-14	1-4	2-2	8	2	5	2	17
Karson Templin	F	26	7-11	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	15
Kolby King	G	29	2-5	2-3	5-6	6	2	0	0	11
Garry Clark	F	23	3-5	0-0	0-2	5	2	0	1	6
Elijah Perryman	G	14	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Drake Allen	G	27	0-7	0-3	3-4	1	9	3	0	3
Adlan Elamin	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tucker Anderson	F	12	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordy Barnes	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zach Keller	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

104.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency104.5

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

47.1%Effective FG%53.2%

52.2%True Shooting %56.5%

20.1%Turnover Rate13.3%

26.1%Free Throw Rate41.9%

52.2%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Utah State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.