Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Siena

47.1%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -112

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 70

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreAmerican University 71

Team Comparison

SienaMetricAmerican University

53.8MMH Power Index48.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

102.2Defensive Efficiency105.8

7.0Net Efficiency4.8

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.3

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

64.4Tempo67.5

50.7%Effective FG%52.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.7%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

34.9%Free Throw Rate30.1%

4.5Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–48.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.8), net efficiency (7.0–4.8), strength of schedule (-0.5–-4.3).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–109.2), shooting efficiency (52.6–50.7), ball security (15.7–15.8).

Final

Siena

59—55

American University

Siena by 4 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATAmerican University

18-44FG18-50

41.0%FG%36.0%

2-113PT3-16

18.0%3PT%19.0%

21-35FT16-21

60.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds8

4Assists5

20Turnovers19

12Steals12

1Blocks4

21Fouls26

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	39	4-9	1-2	8-8	5	0	2	0	17
Francis Folefac	F	32	4-9	0-0	6-9	7	0	2	1	14
Justice Shoats	G	34	5-9	0-0	2-6	2	0	5	0	12
Antonio Chandler	F	18	2-2	0-0	3-6	6	0	0	0	7
Christian Jones	G	29	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Owen Schlager	G	16	1-4	0-3	1-2	3	2	0	0	3
Marcus Jackson	G	13	0-2	0-2	1-4	2	1	1	0	1
Brendan Coyle	F	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Tajae Jones	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madden Collins	G	21	5-11	0-2	3-4	5	1	2	0	13
Matt Mayock	F	32	5-12	0-2	1-1	4	1	0	1	11
Kade Sebastian	G	26	3-3	2-2	1-2	2	1	3	1	9
Wyatt Nausadis	G	24	3-6	0-1	2-3	2	2	3	0	8
Greg Jones	F	26	0-6	0-2	6-6	3	0	0	0	6
Julen Iturbe	F	28	1-4	1-3	1-3	5	0	2	1	4
Chris Eagan	F	12	1-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	4
Geoff Sprouse	G	26	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Dean Hogans	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

84.5Offensive Efficiency78.8

78.8Defensive Efficiency84.5

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

43.2%Effective FG%39.0%

48.7%True Shooting %45.9%

29.1%Turnover Rate26.8%

79.5%Free Throw Rate42.0%

25.0%3-Point Rate32.0%

0.20Assist / Turnover0.26

Game Summary

Siena won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.