Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Ball State

57.9%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -138

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreLafayette 71

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricLafayette

41.3MMH Power Index39.6

101.7Offensive Efficiency102.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

-3.0Net Efficiency-7.4

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

66.4Tempo67.5

48.3%Effective FG%49.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-2.0Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.6), defensive efficiency (104.7–110.3), net efficiency (-3.0–-7.4), recent form (-0.9–-6.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (102.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.9), shooting efficiency (49.4–48.3).

Final

Ball State

37—55

Lafayette

Lafayette by 18 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATLafayette

13-59FG18-54

22.0%FG%33.0%

3-293PT2-14

10.0%3PT%14.0%

8-12FT17-20

67.0%FT%85.0%

42Rebounds46

14Offensive Rebounds10

5Assists4

11Turnovers8

3Steals5

7Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juwan Maxey	G	26	4-12	3-10	0-1	2	0	0	0	11
Armoni Zeigler	G	32	3-10	0-4	4-4	8	1	0	0	10
Davion Hill	G	28	3-9	0-2	3-5	7	1	2	0	9
Elmore James IV	G	23	2-8	0-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Preston Copeland	F	16	1-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	2	2
Cam Denson	F	22	0-6	0-3	1-2	4	1	0	4	1
Mason Jones	F	33	0-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	1	0
Devon Barnes	G	15	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jai Anthoni Bearden	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Easton Foster	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shareef Jackson	F	26	3-8	0-0	5-5	14	1	0	2	11
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	31	2-4	1-1	5-5	10	0	0	2	10
Caleb Williams	G	29	4-16	1-8	1-2	3	1	0	1	10
Mark Butler	G	30	4-8	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Andrew Phillips	G	34	2-13	0-4	2-3	5	0	0	0	6
Luke Bevilacqua	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	0	6
Ryan Pettit	G	23	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	5	0	2
Folabomi Fayemi	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Malik Rasul	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Azzinaro	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Misha Bednostin	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KaiMani Murdock	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ashton Wallace	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

60.1Offensive Efficiency89.3

89.3Defensive Efficiency60.1

-29.2Net Efficiency29.2

24.6%Effective FG%35.2%

28.6%True Shooting %43.3%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.0%

20.3%Free Throw Rate37.0%

49.2%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.45Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.