Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Central Arkansas

70.8%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -242

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 73

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 80

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricEast Tennessee State

54MMH Power Index57.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency115.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency102.8

8.7Net Efficiency12.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

71.0Tempo67.4

54.3%Effective FG%55.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.0%

6.1Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.9), defensive efficiency (102.8–105.2), net efficiency (12.3–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHrecent form (9.8–3.7), offensive rebounding (29.6–28.8).

Final

Central Arkansas

57—80

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 23 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

19-60FG30-58

32.0%FG%52.0%

13-413PT12-31

32.0%3PT%39.0%

6-8FT8-16

75.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists21

13Turnovers10

4Steals9

—Blocks5

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Luke Moore	G	28	4-10	3-7	2-4	3	3	1	13
Camren Hunter	G	24	3-8	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	10
Truman Byrne	F	23	3-6	3-6	0-0	7	4	0	9
Cole McCormick	F	20	3-11	2-9	0-0	2	0	0	8
Harry Beauchamp	G	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	6
Tyler Lee	G	17	2-4	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	6
Javion Guy-King	G	22	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	3	2	5
Ty Robinson	G	17	0-8	0-5	0-0	4	1	1	0
Malchiah Marable	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0
Parker Applegate	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
J.C. Shulman	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Smith	G	31	10-16	7-13	1-2	8	1	2	1	28
Brian Taylor II	G	35	5-12	2-6	2-2	10	10	4	0	14
Cam Morris III	F	20	6-7	1-1	1-4	2	3	0	2	14
Blake Barkley	F	24	5-7	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	12
Brayden Crump	F	16	3-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Jordan McCullum	F	18	1-4	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	1	5
Maki Johnson	G	25	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Allen Strothers	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	3	1	1	0
Gabe Sisk	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Sutherland	F	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Henry Sisemore	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Carter	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

79.5Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency79.5

-32.1Net Efficiency32.1

42.5%Effective FG%62.1%

44.7%True Shooting %61.0%

18.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

13.3%Free Throw Rate27.6%

68.3%3-Point Rate53.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.