Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Little Rock

84.4%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -541

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 66

Projected Total144.1

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 78

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricSouthern Illinois

44MMH Power Index54.6

103.0Offensive Efficiency103.4

108.2Defensive Efficiency98.5

-5.2Net Efficiency4.9

0.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

68.5Tempo70.6

50.3%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate32.3%

-3.6Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (103.4–103.0), defensive efficiency (98.5–108.2), net efficiency (4.9–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.3–49.5), offensive rebounding (32.1–31.1).

Final

Little Rock

65—74

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 9 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

27-52FG28-47

52.0%FG%60.0%

6-233PT6-16

26.0%3PT%38.0%

5-11FT12-20

45.0%FT%60.0%

24Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists14

16Turnovers15

12Steals8

4Blocks2

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kachi Nzeh	F	28	6-9	1-3	4-4	2	2	0	0	17
Johnathan Lawson	G	40	6-15	4-12	0-2	1	10	3	0	16
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	37	4-5	0-0	0-1	4	1	5	1	8
Braxton Bayless	G	36	3-10	1-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	26	3-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	2	2	7
Truman Claytor IV	F	16	3-6	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	1	6
Cameron Wallace	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	0	4
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Steffe	G	32	8-12	5-9	0-0	0	2	3	0	21
Jalen Haynes	G	27	4-7	1-3	1-1	3	4	2	0	10
Rolyns Aligbe	F	24	4-4	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	0	9
Davion Sykes	G	22	2-5	0-0	4-6	3	2	1	0	8
Quel'Ron House	G	21	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	1	8
Isaiah Stafford	G	16	2-4	0-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	7
Prince Aligbe	F	18	2-3	0-0	1-4	2	1	0	0	5
Jorge Moreno	F	16	1-2	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	4
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	24	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

57.7%Effective FG%66.0%

56.8%True Shooting %65.5%

24.9%Turnover Rate23.6%

21.2%Free Throw Rate42.6%

44.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.19Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.