Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.4%Sacramento State

77.6%Pacific

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -346

Pacific

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 71

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScorePacific 81

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricPacific

43MMH Power Index49.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency109.9

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.0

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

73.2Tempo66.2

48.5%Effective FG%53.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-4.3Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (109.9–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.0–112.0), net efficiency (5.9–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.5), ball security (14.2–19.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.9).

Final

Sacramento State

54—68

Pacific

Pacific by 14 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATPacific

19-62FG26-64

31.0%FG%41.0%

5-233PT10-30

22.0%3PT%33.0%

11-12FT6-8

92.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds49

8Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists20

11Turnovers16

9Steals8

5Blocks4

10Fouls14

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Williams	G	39	4-15	0-3	6-7	1	6	3	1	14
Jayden Teat	G	21	3-10	3-6	3-3	1	1	0	0	12
Jahni Summers	G	31	4-12	2-6	0-0	6	0	2	2	10
Mark Lavrenov	F	31	2-6	0-2	2-2	9	0	1	1	6
Prophet Johnson	G	26	3-8	0-1	0-0	3	1	3	0	6
Brandon Gardner	F	17	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Shaqir O'Neal	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Nyarko	F	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Arman Madi	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Taj Glover	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Ralph	F	40	7-16	3-5	5-6	8	4	3	1	22
Justin Rochelin	G	27	5-12	2-5	0-0	6	3	1	0	12
Jaden Clayton	G	34	4-10	1-4	0-0	4	9	3	1	9
TJ Wainwright	G	32	3-9	3-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Isaac Jack	F	21	3-3	0-0	1-2	12	1	1	1	7
Kajus Kublickas	G	19	2-8	0-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Alexis Marmolejos	G	8	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jaion Pitt	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
KC Ibekwe	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

76.3Offensive Efficiency96.0

96.0Defensive Efficiency76.3

-19.8Net Efficiency19.8

34.7%Effective FG%48.4%

39.9%True Shooting %50.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate22.6%

19.4%Free Throw Rate12.5%

37.1%3-Point Rate46.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Pacific won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.