App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%App State

43.3%UNC Asheville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL142.2

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -131

UNC Asheville

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 72

Projected Total142.2

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 71

Team Comparison

App StateMetricUNC Asheville

54.2MMH Power Index47.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency107.5

101.7Defensive Efficiency106.8

9.2Net Efficiency0.7

-4.2Strength of Schedule-0.5

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.5

64.9Tempo68.3

51.1%Effective FG%52.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

39.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

6.0Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–106.8), net efficiency (9.2–0.7).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.1), free throw rate (40.2–39.8).

Final

App State

55—67

UNC Asheville

UNC Asheville by 12 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATUNC Asheville

21-53FG21-50

40.0%FG%42.0%

6-253PT3-18

24.0%3PT%17.0%

7-15FT22-27

47.0%FT%81.0%

25Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists10

10Turnovers13

1Steals5

1Blocks1

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	26	5-8	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	13
Alonzo Dodd	G	21	5-9	0-1	1-1	1	2	0	0	11
Luke Wilson	C	21	2-4	0-0	5-8	1	0	0	0	9
Jalen Tot	G	27	3-10	2-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Kasen Jennings	G	28	3-10	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	6
Chad Moodie	F	23	2-2	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	1	5
Eren Banks	G	32	1-6	1-5	0-2	3	1	0	0	3
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	12	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Andrin Njock	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toyaz Solomon	F	36	8-16	0-2	9-11	8	2	0	1	25
Justin Wright	G	35	3-9	0-4	7-7	4	2	3	0	13
Kameron Taylor	G	30	4-10	1-5	3-5	10	2	1	0	12
DJ Patrick	G	38	3-8	2-5	3-4	3	3	1	0	11
David Hermes	F	26	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Myles Mayfield	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Corey Jones	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Julian Clarke	PG	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daniel Thomas	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sage Tolentino	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

85.3Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency85.3

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

45.3%Effective FG%45.0%

45.7%True Shooting %53.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.7%

28.3%Free Throw Rate54.0%

47.2%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

UNC Asheville won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.