Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.3%Cal State Bakersfield

89.7%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -871

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 69

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreFresno State 84

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricFresno State

32.2MMH Power Index47.1

100.2Offensive Efficiency104.9

112.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

-12.4Net Efficiency0.0

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.5

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

73.0Tempo69.4

46.4%Effective FG%51.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

43.8%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-9.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (104.9–100.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.6), net efficiency (0.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–28.2), free throw rate (43.8–35.5).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

76—71

Fresno State

Cal State Bakersfield by 5 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATFresno State

26-57FG24-65

46.0%FG%37.0%

1-153PT8-33

7.0%3PT%24.0%

23-24FT15-19

96.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds19

8Assists13

10Turnovers16

11Steals7

6Blocks1

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	34	9-21	0-5	12-13	6	1	4	0	30
CJ Hardy	G	28	5-11	0-2	5-5	6	3	3	0	15
Tom Mark	F	33	5-8	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
AJ George	G	26	4-9	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	9
Ronald Jessamy	F	28	0-2	0-1	6-6	5	1	2	2	6
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	4	4
Kadar Waller	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Jaden Alexander	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mike Price	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	36	7-15	2-8	4-4	3	2	1	0	20
Zaon Collins	G	36	6-13	3-6	2-4	2	4	4	0	17
Wilson Jacques	C	25	3-4	0-0	5-5	11	1	1	0	11
DeShawn Gory	F	24	4-11	0-4	2-4	2	1	0	1	10
Jac Mani	F	11	1-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Cameron Faas	G	28	1-8	1-8	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
David Douglas Jr.	G	4	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
DJ Stickman	G	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Gasper Kocevar	C	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	0	0
Bastien Rieber	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

106.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency106.7

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

46.5%Effective FG%43.1%

55.6%True Shooting %48.0%

14.0%Turnover Rate22.5%

42.1%Free Throw Rate29.2%

26.3%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.