New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%New Mexico State

63.0%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -170

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 71

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 75

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricSouth Alabama

51.2MMH Power Index51.4

108.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

4.4Net Efficiency6.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-3.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.9Tempo67.4

48.6%Effective FG%53.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

37.0%Free Throw Rate39.8%

3.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.9), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.1–24.9).

Final

New Mexico State

75—77

South Alabama

South Alabama by 2 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

28-66FG20-45

42.0%FG%44.0%

9-373PT5-13

24.0%3PT%38.0%

10-13FT32-39

77.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds27

18Offensive Rebounds5

18Assists12

13Turnovers7

6Steals9

3Blocks3

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayland Randall	G	27	8-17	2-9	3-3	2	0	0	0	21
Elijah Elliott	G	17	6-12	6-12	0-0	0	3	0	0	18
Jemel Jones	G	30	7-16	1-7	2-2	9	4	0	0	17
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	25	1-4	0-3	2-2	2	4	0	0	4
Chris Terrell	G	7	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	0	4
Gabe Pickens	G	21	1-5	0-4	0-0	3	3	2	0	2
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-2	5	2	0	0	2
Julius Mims	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Augustine Ekwe	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Kyrese Mullen	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Cyr Malonga	C	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	1

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Olsen	F	39	6-10	3-6	6-7	2	1	2	0	21
Peyton Law	F	35	6-13	0-0	6-7	5	4	1	3	18
Chaze Harris	G	29	3-7	0-0	11-11	2	4	2	0	17
Randy Brady	F	34	1-2	1-2	5-7	7	2	2	0	8
Jayden Cooper	G	31	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Brian Hawthorne	G	12	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
JJ Wheat	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Stephen Williams	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	7	0-3	0-3	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

113.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency113.0

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

52.0%True Shooting %60.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate10.7%

19.7%Free Throw Rate86.7%

56.1%3-Point Rate28.9%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.