East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%East Tennessee State

68.7%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -219

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 70

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricDayton

57.4MMH Power Index59.9

115.1Offensive Efficiency108.5

102.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

12.3Net Efficiency7.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule5.7

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

67.4Tempo68.3

55.4%Effective FG%52.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

35.0%Free Throw Rate47.6%

8.3Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.1–108.5), net efficiency (12.3–7.0), shooting efficiency (55.4–52.0), ball security (15.1–16.9).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.9–57.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–102.8), strength of schedule (5.7–-1.6).

Final

East Tennessee State

71—88

Dayton

Dayton by 17 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATDayton

26-56FG27-50

46.0%FG%54.0%

7-213PT6-22

33.0%3PT%27.0%

12-15FT28-35

80.0%FT%80.0%

27Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists19

22Turnovers15

11Steals14

3Blocks6

26Fouls14

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Barkley	F	34	8-14	2-3	3-4	6	1	0	0	21
Cam Morris III	F	24	6-9	2-2	5-7	5	1	2	2	19
Brian Taylor II	G	40	7-13	2-5	0-0	4	5	3	0	16
Jaylen Smith	G	25	3-10	1-6	0-0	1	2	2	0	7
Brayden Crump	F	18	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Maki Johnson	G	23	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	2
Jordan McCullum	F	11	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	2	1	0
Milton Matthews III	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Sisk	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	34	8-14	3-7	8-8	7	3	2	0	27
Keonte Jones	G	36	7-10	0-2	1-2	5	5	5	2	15
Jordan Derkack	G	27	2-2	0-0	10-13	5	5	4	0	14
Amaël L'Etang	F	27	3-5	0-1	4-4	5	2	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	32	4-8	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	2	9
Jacob Conner	F	16	1-3	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	4
Bryce Heard	G	13	1-5	1-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Jaiun Simon	F	12	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	2	0	4
Malcolm Thomas	F	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	2	1

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

96.1Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency96.1

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

52.7%Effective FG%60.0%

56.2%True Shooting %66.0%

29.7%Turnover Rate20.4%

26.8%Free Throw Rate70.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate44.0%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Dayton won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.