Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%Morehead State

77.0%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -335

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreMurray State 84

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricMurray State

47.3MMH Power Index53.6

110.8Offensive Efficiency115.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.8Net Efficiency4.0

-4.0Strength of Schedule3.5

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

67.9Tempo72.3

51.3%Effective FG%54.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.3%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–47.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.8), net efficiency (4.0–0.8), strength of schedule (3.5–-4.0).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.0–111.0), recent form (3.1–-9.5), offensive rebounding (36.4–32.7).

Final

Morehead State

52—84

Murray State

Murray State by 32 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATMurray State

22-59FG27-63

37.0%FG%43.0%

3-123PT10-31

25.0%3PT%32.0%

5-10FT20-29

50.0%FT%69.0%

30Rebounds50

9Offensive Rebounds19

6Assists16

11Turnovers11

8Steals4

1Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Cunningham	G	26	3-6	1-2	3-6	4	1	1	0	10
Anouar Mellouk	F	29	4-10	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Chase Dawson	G	32	4-9	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Tamaury Releford	C	20	4-7	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
George Marshall	G	30	2-10	0-3	1-2	6	1	3	0	5
Tyonne Farrell	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	2	2	0	5
Jace Winkleman	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jon Carroll	F	17	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Josiah LeGree	G	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Vince Dawson III	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Clayton Parker	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	17	3-11	2-5	6-7	3	4	0	0	14
Fred King	C	22	3-4	0-0	6-10	8	0	0	1	12
Mason Miller	F	26	3-5	3-5	1-2	4	1	1	0	10
Mathis Courbon	G	23	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Roman Domon	G	18	4-7	0-1	2-4	10	1	2	0	10
KJ Tenner	G	17	3-6	0-2	4-4	6	1	0	0	10
JJ Traynor	F	22	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	9
Layne Taylor	G	23	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	5	0	0	5
Brayden Shorter	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Dylan Anderson	C	9	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Brock Vice	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

77.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency77.3

-47.5Net Efficiency47.5

39.8%Effective FG%50.8%

40.8%True Shooting %54.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

16.9%Free Throw Rate46.0%

20.3%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.55Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Murray State won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.