UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.6%UT Arlington

80.4%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -410

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 70

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricArkansas State

49.6MMH Power Index57.7

102.7Offensive Efficiency113.1

97.9Defensive Efficiency105.3

4.8Net Efficiency7.8

-0.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

68.1Tempo73.3

48.5%Effective FG%52.7%

20.4%Turnover Rate19.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

43.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

3.3Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–49.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–102.7), net efficiency (7.8–4.8), recent form (15.2–-3.9).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (97.9–105.3), strength of schedule (-0.8–-1.0), free throw rate (43.7–39.6).

Final

UT Arlington

63—83

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 20 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATArkansas State

23-62FG29-60

37.0%FG%48.0%

1-193PT4-17

5.0%3PT%24.0%

16-26FT21-29

62.0%FT%72.0%

37Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds14

4Assists16

12Turnovers14

11Steals9

3Blocks1

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcell McCreary	G	36	7-17	0-7	2-2	2	0	4	0	16
Cash Chavis	G	34	4-11	0-2	7-12	5	2	2	0	15
Raysean Seamster	F	27	5-10	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	11
Tyran Mason	G	16	3-7	0-2	2-3	5	0	2	0	8
Jayden Smoot	G	22	1-5	1-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Miles Goodman	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Bahsil Laster	G	18	0-3	0-2	2-5	1	0	1	0	2
Cameron Jackson	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	1	2
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Jordan Lowery	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Hampton	G	25	6-7	2-2	5-6	8	1	1	0	19
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	29	5-7	2-3	6-9	7	1	2	0	18
Matt Hayman	G	16	6-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	12
Chandler Jackson	G	34	4-8	0-0	3-3	4	7	2	0	11
Christian Harmon	G	32	4-12	0-6	3-5	3	4	2	0	11
TJ Caldwell	G	24	1-10	0-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	4
Chudi Dioramma	F	12	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Royal Blue Smith	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	7	1-3	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	0	2
Aly Tounkara	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

86.8Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency86.8

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

37.9%Effective FG%51.7%

42.4%True Shooting %56.3%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

41.9%Free Throw Rate48.3%

30.6%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.33Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.