Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Valparaiso

68.5%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarquette -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMarquette -217

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 72

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 77

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricMarquette

49.9MMH Power Index52.3

106.6Offensive Efficiency106.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

0.8Net Efficiency-0.9

0.3Strength of Schedule4.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

67.5Tempo70.9

48.7%Effective FG%50.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.5Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (106.6–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.9), net efficiency (0.8–-0.9), ball security (15.6–16.0).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.3–49.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.3), recent form (3.5–-0.1).

Final

Valparaiso

72—75

Marquette

Marquette by 3 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATMarquette

28-62FG21-60

45.0%FG%35.0%

8-263PT6-21

31.0%3PT%29.0%

8-12FT27-32

67.0%FT%84.0%

40Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists12

21Turnovers14

6Steals9

3Blocks3

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	25	5-6	2-2	5-5	6	2	0	0	17
JT Pettigrew	F	27	7-11	0-3	2-5	8	1	1	0	16
Rakim Chaney	G	21	5-7	3-5	0-0	2	2	1	1	13
Brody Whitaker	G	36	4-12	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	9
Isaiah Barnes	G	29	3-6	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	8
Tucker Tornatta	C	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Mark Brown Jr.	G	26	1-10	1-7	0-0	3	4	2	0	3
Shon Tupuola	C	32	1-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	2	2
Justus McNair	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Carter Hopoi	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nigel James Jr.	G	36	7-16	1-2	6-8	4	5	2	0	21
Ben Gold	F	38	5-8	3-6	4-4	7	0	1	0	17
Chase Ross	G	41	4-11	1-4	7-8	5	3	4	0	16
Adrien Stevens	G	29	3-3	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	9
Royce Parham	F	18	1-5	0-3	4-6	4	0	1	2	6
Caedin Hamilton	F	27	1-5	0-0	0-0	10	2	0	1	2
Tre Norman	G	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Joshua Clark	F	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Zaide Lowery	G	15	0-7	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Phillips II	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Damarius Owens	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

93.5Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency93.5

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

51.6%Effective FG%40.0%

53.2%True Shooting %49.9%

27.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

19.4%Free Throw Rate53.3%

41.9%3-Point Rate35.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Marquette won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.