Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Sacramento State

90.7%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -975

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 74

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreBaylor 89

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricBaylor

43MMH Power Index58.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.7

112.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.9Net Efficiency7.2

0.9Strength of Schedule4.0

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%54.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (109.5–112.0), net efficiency (7.2–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHball security (14.2–16.4), free throw rate (41.8–34.8).

Final

Sacramento State

88—110

Baylor

Baylor by 22 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATBaylor

26-68FG38-63

38.0%FG%60.0%

10-323PT6-22

31.0%3PT%27.0%

26-30FT28-37

87.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds40

19Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists14

13Turnovers12

9Steals9

—Blocks1

28Fouls23

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mikey Williams	G	35	5-19	1-7	10-12	3	2	2	21
Prophet Johnson	G	33	6-15	2-7	7-7	7	4	2	21
Jahni Summers	G	22	4-7	4-6	0-0	2	1	1	12
Mark Lavrenov	F	32	3-6	0-0	4-6	9	0	0	10
Shaqir O'Neal	F	14	2-5	1-3	1-1	2	0	1	6
Taj Glover	G	8	1-3	0-1	3-3	1	1	2	5
Arman Madi	G	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	4
Romari Robinson	G	5	1-2	1-2	1-1	0	1	0	4
Jayden Teat	G	9	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	3
Brandon Gardner	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Nyarko	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Isaiah Bronson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tounde Yessoufou	G	28	11-15	0-1	5-6	6	1	4	0	27
Cameron Carr	G	30	10-16	2-7	3-5	4	0	0	0	25
Michael Rataj	G	31	6-7	2-2	4-7	10	4	3	1	18
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	33	4-10	0-4	4-4	14	4	0	0	12
Isaac Williams IV	G	22	4-7	0-2	3-5	1	2	1	0	11
Obi Agbim	G	30	2-6	2-5	4-4	0	2	0	0	10
Will Kuykendall	G	3	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Drew Perry	G	2	0-1	0-1	3-4	0	0	1	0	3
Caden Powell	C	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

115.9Offensive Efficiency144.9

144.9Defensive Efficiency115.9

-29.0Net Efficiency29.0

45.6%Effective FG%65.1%

53.5%True Shooting %68.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

44.1%Free Throw Rate58.7%

47.1%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Baylor won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.