USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%USC

64.0%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon -178

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 75

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreOregon 78

Team Comparison

USCMetricOregon

48.3MMH Power Index48.9

108.5Offensive Efficiency106.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

0.9Net Efficiency-4.3

2.5Strength of Schedule6.0

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.4Tempo66.7

50.7%Effective FG%49.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

45.3%Free Throw Rate36.9%

0.7Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–106.4), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.7), net efficiency (0.9–-4.3), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.9).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.9–48.3), strength of schedule (6.0–2.5), recent form (-6.7–-16.0).

Final

USC

82—77

Oregon

USC by 5 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATOregon

28-55FG25-53

51.0%FG%47.0%

8-213PT10-23

38.0%3PT%43.0%

18-25FT17-26

72.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds27

14Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

15Turnovers14

9Steals8

2Blocks3

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	36	9-18	2-7	5-5	4	3	3	0	25
Jacob Cofie	F	36	6-10	2-3	3-4	4	0	3	2	17
Ezra Ausar	F	25	4-9	0-0	5-8	9	1	0	0	13
Jerry Easter II	G	35	3-5	0-1	5-8	7	1	2	0	11
Jaden Brownell	F	28	4-10	3-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Ryan Cornish	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Terrance Williams II	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jordan Marsh	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Amarion Dickerson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	36	6-12	2-5	9-11	9	2	2	1	23
Takai Simpkins	G	31	5-9	4-6	3-5	1	5	2	0	17
Jackson Shelstad	G	37	6-12	1-6	0-0	1	5	1	0	13
Sean Stewart	F	21	2-3	0-0	3-6	2	0	1	0	7
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	21	3-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Devon Pryor	F	26	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Jamari Phillips	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	3	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Wei Lin	G	7	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Ege Demir	C	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Drew Carter	G	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

119.4Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency119.4

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

58.2%Effective FG%56.6%

61.3%True Shooting %58.9%

22.1%Turnover Rate20.2%

45.5%Free Throw Rate49.1%

38.2%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

USC won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.