Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Marshall

78.8%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -372

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 72

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 82

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricUNC Wilmington

52MMH Power Index59.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency114.1

110.3Defensive Efficiency101.7

4.4Net Efficiency12.4

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

70.7Tempo66.9

55.2%Effective FG%51.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

29.7%Free Throw Rate41.7%

3.1Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–52.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.3), net efficiency (12.4–4.4), recent form (5.5–-4.9).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.1), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.5), shooting efficiency (55.2–51.1).

Final

Marshall

69—70

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 1 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

26-58FG18-55

45.0%FG%33.0%

8-253PT5-22

32.0%3PT%23.0%

9-9FT29-39

100.0%FT%74.0%

34Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds18

15Assists9

11Turnovers6

1Steals4

3Blocks1

31Fouls16

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Otshudi	G	37	6-13	2-5	4-4	3	4	0	0	18
Wilson Dubinsky	G	29	4-7	2-4	2-2	6	3	1	0	12
Jalen Speer	G	32	4-15	3-9	0-0	6	3	0	0	11
Matt Van Komen	C	27	4-4	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	2	10
Wyatt Fricks	F	31	4-9	0-4	1-1	6	1	0	0	9
Erich Harding	F	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Caleb Hollenbeck	G	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Shamarrie Hugie	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Drew Fuquay	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Landen Joseph	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick Wessler	F	30	7-11	0-0	7-10	13	0	1	1	21
Nolan Hodge	G	35	4-12	1-6	11-14	5	1	1	0	20
Madison Durr	G	26	1-8	0-3	9-10	5	1	0	0	11
Christian May	G	32	3-6	3-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Gavin Walsh	F	25	2-5	1-4	0-3	5	0	0	0	5
Greedy Williams	G	25	0-5	0-1	2-2	2	4	1	0	2
Noah Ross	G	23	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency110.6

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

51.7%Effective FG%37.3%

55.4%True Shooting %47.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate9.8%

15.5%Free Throw Rate70.9%

43.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.