Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Mississippi State

93.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -1513

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreAuburn 91

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricAuburn

44.6MMH Power Index64.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

5.0Strength of Schedule7.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

72.3Tempo69.8

51.6%Effective FG%53.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (118.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (113.0–113.2), net efficiency (5.8–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

66—88

Auburn

Auburn by 22 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATAuburn

22-63FG33-60

35.0%FG%55.0%

3-243PT10-24

13.0%3PT%42.0%

19-27FT12-15

70.0%FT%80.0%

42Rebounds30

20Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists9

16Turnovers10

7Steals11

2Blocks10

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	36	2-12	2-10	11-12	5	0	1	0	17
RJ Melendez	Forward	28	5-12	0-4	5-6	10	0	0	1	15
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	30	4-10	1-5	2-2	2	1	2	0	11
KeShawn Murphy	F	26	5-8	0-0	1-6	8	0	2	0	11
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Cameron Matthews	Forward	36	2-10	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Mike Nwoko	F	17	1-5	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	1	2
Dellquan Warren	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Harrison Alexander	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	25	8-11	3-5	1-2	2	1	1	2	20
Chaney Johnson	Forward	34	7-10	1-1	2-2	8	1	1	4	17
Miles Kelly	Guard	29	4-8	3-5	2-2	10	0	2	0	13
Denver Jones	Guard	28	3-8	1-5	6-6	1	3	2	1	13
Tahaad Pettiford	G	21	5-11	2-6	0-0	0	3	4	0	12
Dylan Cardwell	Center	29	4-6	0-0	1-3	5	1	1	2	9
Jahki Howard	F	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Chris Moore	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Reed Trapp	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Muschalek	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Presley Patterson	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

93.1Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency93.1

-31.0Net Efficiency31.0

37.3%Effective FG%63.3%

43.5%True Shooting %65.5%

22.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate25.0%

38.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Auburn won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.