Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Little Rock

83.5%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -506

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 70

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricCentral Arkansas

44MMH Power Index54

103.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

108.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

-5.2Net Efficiency8.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

68.5Tempo71.0

50.3%Effective FG%54.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-3.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (105.2–108.2), net efficiency (8.7–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Little Rock

47—85

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 38 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

20-58FG30-63

34.0%FG%48.0%

5-203PT15-41

25.0%3PT%37.0%

2-9FT10-14

22.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds44

11Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists21

21Turnovers14

6Steals16

5Blocks2

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Wallace	F	31	9-20	0-2	1-4	9	1	1	0	19
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	27	4-8	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	3	8
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	20	2-5	2-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Johnathan Lawson	G	28	2-7	1-6	0-1	4	2	0	0	5
Christian Hughes	G	34	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	2	1	3
Joseph Thomas	G	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Kachi Nzeh	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	1	2
Braxton Bayless	G	23	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	3	0	0	1
Truman Claytor IV	F	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	25	7-12	2-7	3-5	1	3	4	0	19
Ty Robinson	G	20	6-13	1-7	2-2	8	6	2	0	15
Luke Moore	G	25	4-7	3-6	0-0	4	2	2	0	11
Parker Applegate	G	13	3-7	1-4	3-4	0	0	0	0	10
Harry Beauchamp	G	15	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Javion Guy-King	G	13	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Truman Byrne	F	21	1-4	1-3	2-2	6	3	0	0	5
Malchiah Marable	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	3	0	4
Tyler Lee	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-1	3	2	1	1	3
Cole McCormick	F	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	1	3
Ethan Thomas	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
J.C. Shulman	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

65.7Offensive Efficiency118.9

118.9Defensive Efficiency65.7

-53.1Net Efficiency53.1

38.8%Effective FG%59.5%

37.7%True Shooting %61.0%

29.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

15.5%Free Throw Rate22.2%

34.5%3-Point Rate65.1%

0.43Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.