South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.2%South Dakota State

28.8%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -247

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 77

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 72

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricNorthern Arizona

49.6MMH Power Index36.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

106.9Defensive Efficiency114.8

3.7Net Efficiency-7.7

-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.8

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

68.2Tempo66.6

52.6%Effective FG%53.5%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.6%

2.6Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (106.9–114.8), net efficiency (3.7–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-2.2), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.6), ball security (15.8–16.2).

Final

South Dakota State

75—62

Northern Arizona

South Dakota State by 13 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

24-57FG22-54

42.0%FG%41.0%

9-293PT7-24

31.0%3PT%29.0%

18-25FT11-19

72.0%FT%58.0%

41Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists14

11Turnovers13

10Steals7

1Blocks3

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Sayler	G	34	5-10	4-7	6-6	3	3	3	0	20
Damon Wilkinson	C	26	4-6	0-0	5-7	5	2	0	1	13
Kalen Garry	G	32	4-11	3-8	0-0	5	3	0	0	11
Luke Haertle	G	19	4-6	0-1	3-4	5	1	2	0	11
Jaden Jackson	G	29	2-8	2-7	2-2	9	3	1	0	8
Matthew Mors	F	28	2-5	0-2	1-3	2	2	2	0	5
Alec Squires	C	13	1-4	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	0	3
Caleb Delzell	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Trey Buchanan	G	7	1-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Bubz Alvarez	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arne Osojnik	G	24	6-11	3-5	1-1	2	2	0	0	16
Zack Davidson	F	24	5-8	0-1	1-4	5	3	2	0	11
Ryan Abelman	G	35	3-12	1-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	9
Kavon Bradford	G	32	2-7	0-1	4-6	3	3	1	0	8
Isaiah Shaw	G	25	3-7	1-5	0-0	2	0	1	2	7
Karl Poom	F	20	1-6	1-4	2-4	7	1	0	0	5
Traivar Jackson	F	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	3
Chris Komin	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
Brennan Peterson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Oakland Fort	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

109.5Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency109.5

19.0Net Efficiency-19.0

50.0%Effective FG%47.2%

54.4%True Shooting %49.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

43.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

50.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.