Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.9%Ball State

36.1%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -177

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 71

Projected Total139.8

Projected ScoreEvansville 69

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricEvansville

41.3MMH Power Index31.6

101.7Offensive Efficiency98.5

104.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

-3.0Net Efficiency-13.9

-3.9Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

66.4Tempo68.0

48.3%Effective FG%50.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

-2.0Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (101.7–98.5), defensive efficiency (104.7–112.4), net efficiency (-3.0–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.9), shooting efficiency (50.0–48.3).

Final

Ball State

52—64

Evansville

Evansville by 12 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATEvansville

18-56FG22-52

32.0%FG%42.0%

6-243PT6-25

25.0%3PT%24.0%

10-14FT14-18

71.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists15

14Turnovers15

10Steals5

2Blocks8

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armoni Zeigler	G	35	5-11	3-6	4-4	3	2	3	0	17
Devon Barnes	G	22	5-10	1-3	0-1	0	1	0	0	11
Kayden Fish	F	18	3-7	1-2	3-3	2	0	1	0	10
Juwan Maxey	G	25	1-11	0-7	3-3	4	1	3	0	5
Preston Copeland	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-3	5	1	0	0	4
Joey Hart	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Mason Jones	F	38	1-3	0-1	0-0	10	2	2	2	2
Elmore James IV	G	16	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Davion Hill	G	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Turnbull	F	29	9-13	0-2	3-3	10	3	0	5	21
AJ Casey	F	27	3-7	0-1	3-5	11	1	1	1	9
Trent Hundley	F	25	3-9	3-9	0-0	0	1	0	1	9
Bryce Quinet	G	25	2-6	0-2	4-5	1	5	3	0	8
Alex Hemenway	G	15	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Joshua Hughes	F	24	1-3	0-1	2-2	8	0	1	1	4
Leif Moeller	G	20	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Keishon Porter	G	15	1-3	0-1	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Kaia Berridge	G	20	0-1	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

77.4Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency77.4

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

37.5%Effective FG%48.1%

41.5%True Shooting %52.8%

20.7%Turnover Rate22.5%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.6%

42.9%3-Point Rate48.1%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Evansville won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.