Eastern Kentucky

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Eastern Kentucky

82.3%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -465

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Kentucky 72

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreIllinois State 83

Team Comparison

Eastern KentuckyMetricIllinois State

45.1MMH Power Index54.3

113.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

115.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

-2.2Net Efficiency9.2

-1.1Strength of Schedule1.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.9Tempo67.5

52.9%Effective FG%54.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

31.7%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-1.6Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–45.1), defensive efficiency (101.4–115.5), net efficiency (9.2–-2.2), strength of schedule (1.0–-1.1).

Eastern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.6), ball security (16.6–16.8), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.3).

Final

Eastern Kentucky

78—89

Illinois State

Illinois State by 11 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern KentuckyTEAM STATIllinois State

26-59FG31-57

44.0%FG%54.0%

11-283PT11-23

39.0%3PT%48.0%

15-23FT16-20

65.0%FT%80.0%

31Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists16

13Turnovers12

9Steals8

4Blocks1

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Eastern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	29	6-11	5-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	17
Jayden Harris	F	21	4-8	2-3	5-6	7	1	0	1	15
Tyler Jackson	G	13	3-5	0-2	3-4	1	0	2	1	9
Austin Ball	F	25	3-10	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Yvens Paul	F	24	4-7	0-0	0-2	6	2	2	2	8
Turner Buttry	G	24	2-4	0-1	3-3	3	0	1	0	7
Jackson Holt	G	22	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
MJ Williams	G	21	2-5	0-2	2-4	2	2	2	0	6
Montavious Myrick	F	21	0-3	0-0	2-4	4	1	1	0	2
Mason Miles	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnny Kinziger	G	36	7-10	3-6	4-4	1	5	3	0	21
Ty Pence	G	32	4-9	1-3	8-9	7	5	0	0	17
Mason Klabo	G	19	7-9	3-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	17
Boden Skunberg	G	31	3-6	2-3	2-2	8	2	2	0	10
Chase Walker	F	27	3-6	0-0	2-4	2	2	1	0	8
Landon Wolf	G	18	3-8	1-3	0-1	2	1	1	0	7
Landon Moore	G	18	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Brandon Lieb	F	9	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Jack Daugherty	F	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency109.6

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

53.4%Effective FG%64.0%

55.8%True Shooting %66.9%

18.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.1%

47.5%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.