North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.2%North Dakota State

26.8%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -273

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreMontana 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricMontana

59MMH Power Index45.4

115.4Offensive Efficiency108.6

100.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

14.6Net Efficiency3.8

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

69.6Tempo71.2

54.5%Effective FG%56.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

10.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–45.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–104.8), net efficiency (14.6–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.6), shooting efficiency (56.3–54.5), free throw rate (37.7–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

81—72

Montana

North Dakota State by 9 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATMontana

28-62FG28-58

45.0%FG%48.0%

5-233PT8-25

22.0%3PT%32.0%

20-22FT8-13

91.0%FT%62.0%

36Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists15

10Turnovers14

8Steals8

3Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	32	6-16	2-9	9-10	1	5	2	0	23
Markhi Strickland	G	32	7-11	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	0	16
Trevian Carson	G	35	6-7	1-2	2-2	5	2	2	1	15
Andy Stefonowicz	G	30	2-5	1-3	6-6	6	4	0	0	11
Treyson Anderson	F	20	4-9	1-3	1-2	6	1	1	1	10
Noah Feddersen	F	20	2-9	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Carson Smith	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Riley Massey	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Tay Smith	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Majerle	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	31	8-15	0-3	5-8	4	5	1	0	21
Tyler Isaak	G	30	3-7	3-6	2-2	3	5	4	1	11
Brooklyn Hicks	G	20	5-11	1-5	0-2	6	0	0	1	11
Courtney Anderson Jr.	G	21	4-6	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	10
Tyler Thompson	G	26	3-8	2-5	0-0	6	1	0	1	8
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	2	2	0	4
Connor Dick	G	14	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Kenyon Aguino	F	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	2
Amari Jedkins	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Trae Taylor	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chase Henderson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

115.9Offensive Efficiency103.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency115.9

12.9Net Efficiency-12.9

49.2%Effective FG%55.2%

55.9%True Shooting %56.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate20.0%

35.5%Free Throw Rate22.4%

37.1%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.