Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Texas State

50.8%Rice

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRice -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINERice -103

Rice

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 73

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreRice 74

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricRice

49.4MMH Power Index45.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency108.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency109.2

4.3Net Efficiency-0.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

68.6Tempo68.3

51.3%Effective FG%49.7%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.7%

36.0%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–45.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.2), net efficiency (4.3–-0.9), recent form (9.1–-4.3).

Rice COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.3–107.7), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7), ball security (17.8–18.4).

Final

Texas State

72—77

Rice

Rice by 5 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATRice

27-63FG24-55

43.0%FG%44.0%

4-133PT7-26

31.0%3PT%27.0%

14-19FT22-29

74.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists9

11Turnovers13

8Steals6

5Blocks7

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Drone	G	27	8-16	1-6	6-7	2	1	0	0	23
DJ Hall	F	33	5-12	0-0	2-3	12	3	1	1	12
Kyndall Davis	G	27	4-5	2-3	2-4	5	1	2	0	12
Dimp Pernell	G	25	4-7	1-2	1-1	2	1	1	0	10
Makai Willis	C	20	2-8	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	2	7
Kaden Gumbs	G	27	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	4
Franck Emmou	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jalen Bolden	G	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Robert Fields	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Tay Knox	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ky Pernell	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Rice

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trae Broadnax	G	30	5-10	1-5	5-6	7	6	2	2	16
Nick Anderson	G	32	4-13	2-9	5-6	6	1	1	1	15
Cam Carroll	G	25	5-8	2-4	3-4	2	0	2	0	15
Jalen Smith	G	31	3-7	2-5	3-4	4	1	0	2	11
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	17	3-5	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	6
Andrew Akuchie	F	11	1-3	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	1	6
Stephen Giwa	C	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Eternity Eguagie	F	15	1-3	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	1	4
Bodey Howell	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Williams	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

46.0%Effective FG%50.0%

50.0%True Shooting %56.0%

16.2%Turnover Rate19.2%

30.2%Free Throw Rate52.7%

20.6%3-Point Rate47.3%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Rice won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.