St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

45.5%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -120

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 77

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricMontana State

59.8MMH Power Index53.6

116.8Offensive Efficiency114.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

14.6Net Efficiency9.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

70.0Tempo68.1

59.2%Effective FG%55.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.7%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

10.2Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–114.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.9), net efficiency (14.6–9.5).

Montana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (28.1–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

74—82

Montana State

Montana State by 8 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATMontana State

27-52FG24-56

52.0%FG%43.0%

9-303PT12-32

30.0%3PT%38.0%

11-16FT22-29

69.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists12

14Turnovers7

6Steals10

2Blocks—

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Janowski	G	36	8-15	4-9	2-3	11	2	1	0	22
Nolan Minessale	G	28	5-9	0-3	3-6	3	4	3	1	13
Austin Herro	G	24	3-3	0-0	4-4	4	3	0	0	10
Ben Oosterbaan	F	30	4-8	1-5	0-0	6	1	2	0	9
Carter Bjerke	F	30	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Ryan Dufault	G	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jermaine Coleman	G	15	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	2	0	1	3
Kyle Counts	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Tim Franks	G	6	1-3	0-2	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Hayden Tibbits	G	10	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Ryan Lafferty	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	34	7-17	0-3	10-14	7	5	1	24
Jed Miller	G	37	5-9	4-8	4-4	3	3	1	18
Seth Amunrud	G	23	6-11	4-8	0-0	1	1	4	16
Davian Brown	G	28	3-9	3-7	3-4	4	0	0	12
Jeremiah Davis	G	29	2-6	1-4	2-2	4	2	3	7
Waka Mbatch	F	15	1-1	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	4
Chris Hodges	F	21	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1
Jaden Steppe	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0
Howie Keene	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

109.3Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency109.3

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

60.6%Effective FG%53.6%

62.1%True Shooting %58.8%

20.4%Turnover Rate10.5%

30.8%Free Throw Rate51.8%

57.7%3-Point Rate57.1%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Montana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.