Pacific

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.1%Pacific

7.9%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -1166

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePacific 79

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

PacificMetricAir Force

49.6MMH Power Index23

109.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

104.0Defensive Efficiency118.5

5.9Net Efficiency-27.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule6.2

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

66.2Tempo67.4

53.5%Effective FG%49.0%

19.7%Turnover Rate21.9%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

30.9%Free Throw Rate35.9%

3.9Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–23.0), offensive efficiency (109.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (104.0–118.5), net efficiency (5.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-1.5), free throw rate (35.9–30.9).

Final

Pacific

80—65

Air Force

Pacific by 15 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PacificTEAM STATAir Force

29-55FG20-43

53.0%FG%47.0%

4-153PT6-19

27.0%3PT%32.0%

18-20FT19-32

90.0%FT%59.0%

35Rebounds22

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists11

7Turnovers11

8Steals4

4Blocks3

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Ralph	F	39	12-22	0-4	7-7	5	0	2	2	31
Kajus Kublickas	G	39	3-11	2-5	5-6	6	7	1	0	13
Jaden Clayton	G	26	5-6	1-1	2-2	3	2	3	0	13
TJ Wainwright	G	30	4-8	1-3	3-3	2	1	0	0	12
Jaion Pitt	F	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Isaac Jack	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Justin Rochelin	G	24	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	2	1	2
KC Ibekwe	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Alexis Marmolejos	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Hobin	F	34	4-10	3-8	8-12	1	2	0	0	19
Caleb Walker	F	24	6-6	0-0	3-6	3	1	0	1	15
Eli Robinson	F	26	5-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	2	1	11
Kam Sanders	G	31	3-7	2-4	2-3	3	0	0	0	10
Kolby Gilles	F	19	0-3	0-0	5-8	5	0	0	0	5
Ethan Greenberg	G	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Justin Hinds	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-1	1	2	1	1	2
Wesley Celichowski	C	16	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
A.J. Patterson	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

131.4Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency131.4

24.6Net Efficiency-24.6

56.4%Effective FG%53.5%

62.0%True Shooting %55.8%

11.8%Turnover Rate17.7%

36.4%Free Throw Rate74.4%

27.3%3-Point Rate44.2%

1.57Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Pacific won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.