Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Mississippi State

56.3%Georgia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Tech -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Tech -129

Georgia Tech

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 78

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreGeorgia Tech 81

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricGeorgia Tech

44.6MMH Power Index42.3

107.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

113.2Defensive Efficiency107.7

-5.8Net Efficiency-5.1

5.0Strength of Schedule3.8

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-19.7

72.3Tempo71.9

51.6%Effective FG%50.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.6%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate34.2%

-4.2Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.3), offensive efficiency (107.4–102.6), strength of schedule (5.0–3.8), recent form (-17.5–-19.7).

Georgia Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–113.2), net efficiency (-5.1–-5.8), offensive rebounding (30.0–29.8).

Final

Mississippi State

85—73

Georgia Tech

Mississippi State by 12 • 75.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATGeorgia Tech

31-61FG26-77

51.0%FG%34.0%

6-223PT8-30

27.0%3PT%27.0%

17-22FT13-20

77.0%FT%65.0%

47Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds17

13Assists16

13Turnovers5

3Steals7

9Blocks3

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	33	8-14	2-6	7-7	4	5	1	0	25
Jayden Epps	G	30	4-9	1-4	5-7	2	1	0	2	14
Jamarion Davis-Fleming	F	26	5-5	0-0	1-1	5	1	0	1	11
Brandon Walker	F	17	4-10	1-4	2-3	7	2	0	1	11
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	32	3-6	1-2	2-4	5	2	2	1	9
Quincy Ballard	C	27	4-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	3	8
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	21	2-5	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Achor Achor	F	9	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Sergej Macura	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Georgia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kowacie Reeves Jr.	F	34	8-20	7-14	0-0	9	1	6	1	23
Mouhamed Sylla	C	26	5-7	0-1	2-5	5	1	0	1	12
Akai Fleming	G	26	3-13	0-5	6-6	1	2	0	0	12
Baye Ndongo	F	22	4-8	1-2	3-3	4	1	0	0	12
Lamar Washington	G	27	3-6	0-0	1-2	3	5	0	0	7
Jaeden Mustaf	G	18	2-9	0-3	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Kam Craft	G	15	1-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Eric Chatfield Jr.	G	18	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Peyton Marshall	C	10	0-2	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	1	0
Chas Kelley III	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.0Possessions75.0

113.3Offensive Efficiency97.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency113.3

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

55.7%Effective FG%39.0%

59.5%True Shooting %42.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate6.7%

36.1%Free Throw Rate26.0%

36.1%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 75.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.