Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Utah Valley

65.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -186

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 73

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricSan Diego State

59.1MMH Power Index60.1

113.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency99.3

16.1Net Efficiency11.0

-3.3Strength of Schedule3.8

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.6Tempo70.8

56.0%Effective FG%53.2%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

11.4Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.4–110.3), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.3), net efficiency (16.1–11.0), recent form (6.8–0.4).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.1), strength of schedule (3.8–-3.3), ball security (17.2–19.9).

Final

Utah Valley

66—77

San Diego State

San Diego State by 11 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATSan Diego State

23-55FG25-56

42.0%FG%45.0%

10-273PT5-15

37.0%3PT%33.0%

10-15FT22-28

67.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists13

19Turnovers13

10Steals12

1Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Holcombe	G	36	5-10	0-2	7-9	10	5	3	0	17
Tyler Hendricks	G	38	5-8	5-7	0-0	4	3	2	0	15
Hayden Welling	F	23	5-12	3-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	14
Trevan Leonhardt	G	39	5-12	1-4	2-2	5	5	4	0	13
Noah Taitz	G	27	1-4	1-4	0-2	2	1	0	0	3
Isaac Davis	F	16	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Isaac Hawkins	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Davis	G	24	4-8	2-4	8-8	4	2	1	0	18
Tae Simmons	F	14	4-6	1-1	6-7	7	0	0	0	15
Pharaoh Compton	F	22	5-8	0-0	2-2	5	0	2	3	12
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	25	3-10	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Jeremiah Oden	F	17	3-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	7
Magoon Gwath	F	16	2-6	0-1	3-4	5	0	1	0	7
Elzie Harrington	G	20	2-5	0-1	0-2	2	2	0	0	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	3	2	0	4
Taj DeGourville	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	4	2	0	3
Miles Byrd	G	20	0-5	0-3	0-1	1	1	2	0	0
Miles Heide	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

94.0Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency94.0

-15.7Net Efficiency15.7

50.9%Effective FG%49.1%

53.1%True Shooting %55.6%

27.1%Turnover Rate18.5%

27.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

49.1%3-Point Rate26.8%

0.84Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.