South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%South Alabama

76.5%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -326

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 69

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 78

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricEast Tennessee State

51.4MMH Power Index57.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency115.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency102.8

6.4Net Efficiency12.3

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.6

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

67.4Tempo67.4

53.2%Effective FG%55.4%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

39.8%Free Throw Rate35.0%

4.3Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–51.4), offensive efficiency (115.1–110.3), defensive efficiency (102.8–103.9), net efficiency (12.3–6.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–15.1), free throw rate (39.8–35.0).

Final

South Alabama

65—91

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 26 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

23-54FG35-73

43.0%FG%48.0%

10-233PT14-39

43.0%3PT%36.0%

9-16FT7-9

56.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds45

6Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists20

13Turnovers9

7Steals11

5Blocks5

6Fouls14

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Cooper	G	33	7-13	5-9	0-0	2	1	1	1	19
Adam Olsen	F	33	5-12	4-8	1-1	5	2	1	0	15
JJ Wheat	G	11	3-5	0-1	4-5	0	1	1	0	10
Randy Brady	F	25	2-4	1-3	1-2	6	2	1	1	6
Peyton Law	F	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Stephen Williams	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	2	5
Chaze Harris	G	23	1-7	0-1	1-2	2	7	0	0	3
Brian Hawthorne	G	13	0-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	3	1	0
John Broom	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Maxwell Land	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maki Johnson	G	28	10-19	9-17	0-0	3	1	2	0	29
Blake Barkley	F	24	7-9	1-1	5-5	10	0	0	0	20
Cam Morris III	F	27	5-9	0-1	0-0	12	3	0	2	10
Jordan McCullum	F	18	5-8	0-2	0-0	1	0	3	0	10
Milton Matthews III	G	9	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Jaylen Smith	G	26	2-8	1-6	0-2	3	4	4	1	5
Gabe Sisk	G	4	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Brian Taylor II	G	23	1-5	1-4	0-0	5	3	0	1	3
Brayden Crump	F	8	0-3	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	25	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	7	1	1	0
Isaiah Sutherland	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Henry Sisemore	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Carter	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

93.7Offensive Efficiency131.1

131.1Defensive Efficiency93.7

-37.5Net Efficiency37.5

51.9%Effective FG%57.5%

52.8%True Shooting %58.9%

19.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

29.6%Free Throw Rate12.3%

42.6%3-Point Rate53.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.