Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Mercyhurst

46.3%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL139.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -116

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 70

Projected Total139.9

Projected ScoreLafayette 70

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricLafayette

45.5MMH Power Index39.6

105.2Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

3.0Net Efficiency-7.4

-5.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

65.9Tempo67.5

50.5%Effective FG%49.4%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

25.4%Free Throw Rate33.0%

2.0Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–39.6), offensive efficiency (105.2–102.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.3), net efficiency (3.0–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-5.7), free throw rate (33.0–25.4).

Final

Mercyhurst

71—79

Lafayette

Lafayette by 8 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATLafayette

30-68FG25-50

44.0%FG%50.0%

5-173PT14-23

29.0%3PT%61.0%

6-8FT15-16

75.0%FT%94.0%

30Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists16

6Turnovers15

9Steals2

8Blocks4

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernie Blunt III	G	37	6-14	1-5	4-4	3	1	0	1	17
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	28	7-15	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	2	14
Jake Lemelman	G	38	5-15	2-4	0-0	1	8	3	0	12
Qadir Martin	F	34	3-9	1-2	2-4	7	2	0	4	9
Christian Gamble	G	22	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	18	4-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	2	1	8
James Thomas	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	3	0	2
Cameron Johnson	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	35	6-12	6-9	6-6	2	4	0	1	24
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	36	7-9	6-7	0-0	8	0	0	2	20
Andrew Phillips	G	37	4-11	2-7	4-4	8	0	0	0	14
Shareef Jackson	F	25	5-10	0-0	0-0	8	4	0	0	10
Mark Butler	G	30	3-5	0-0	3-4	0	7	1	0	9
Luke Bevilacqua	F	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	2
Folabomi Fayemi	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Wallace	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Malik Rasul	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Misha Bednostin	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

111.5Offensive Efficiency124.0

124.0Defensive Efficiency111.5

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

47.8%Effective FG%64.0%

49.4%True Shooting %68.6%

9.4%Turnover Rate23.6%

11.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

25.0%3-Point Rate46.0%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.