Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Fairfield

33.3%Manhattan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -200

Manhattan

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 78

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreManhattan 74

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricManhattan

50.1MMH Power Index39.3

109.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

105.4Defensive Efficiency114.2

4.2Net Efficiency-7.1

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.5

67.8Tempo69.1

49.1%Effective FG%48.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%

2.8Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–39.3), offensive efficiency (109.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (105.4–114.2), net efficiency (4.2–-7.1).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

66—70

Manhattan

Manhattan by 4 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATManhattan

26-73FG24-56

36.0%FG%43.0%

8-303PT5-19

27.0%3PT%26.0%

6-7FT17-21

86.0%FT%81.0%

45Rebounds35

20Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists15

15Turnovers15

8Steals14

4Blocks7

16Fouls8

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	37	8-16	4-9	2-2	5	5	1	0	22
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	34	7-11	0-0	1-1	19	3	2	2	15
Halon Rawlins	G	17	3-6	1-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	7
Eric Mejia	G	22	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	6
Cam Estevez	G	18	2-9	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Deuce Turner	G	26	2-11	1-8	0-0	1	0	3	1	5
Brandon Benjamin	F	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Isaac Munkadi	F	13	0-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	1
Ryan Zan	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Rogan	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tony Williams	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Winston	G	38	6-13	1-4	5-5	0	6	6	0	18
Fraser Roxburgh	F	31	6-13	2-5	0-0	5	1	0	2	14
Devin Dinkins	G	35	3-9	0-2	5-6	2	3	4	1	11
Terrance Jones	G	22	3-9	0-3	4-4	6	3	1	0	10
Marko Ljubicic	F	23	3-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Erik Oliver-Bush	G	30	2-4	1-2	0-2	7	1	1	3	5
Anthony Isaac	F	14	0-3	0-1	3-4	3	0	2	1	3
Jackson Delaney	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Quron Elliott	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

91.4Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency91.4

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

41.1%Effective FG%47.3%

43.2%True Shooting %53.1%

21.0%Turnover Rate20.6%

9.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

41.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Manhattan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.